Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sutjeska vs Jezero

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Gradski, Nikšić
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Vracar M.
50'
Krivokapic N.
55'
Sub
Cadjenovic J. In: Scekic A.
Out: Cadjenovic J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sutjeska
15%
Draws
85%
Jezero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jezero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sutjeska lately — more wins on the board than Jezero.
  • Win probability leans Jezero's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 15%
Jezero Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutjeska Jezero
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.62 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Sutjeska
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Jezero
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Sutjeska
1:1
Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Sutjeska vs Jezero
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Jezero
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutjeska Compare

Top Goalscorer Mrvaljevic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.31

Jezero Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutjeska 10 / 100
Jezero 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutjeska Jezero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jezero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutjeska's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jezero let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Jezero has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sutjeska VS Jezero
0.38 Goals Scored 1.29
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutjeska

(Home)
15 Aug
Sutjeska
1 : 4
Otrant
09 Aug
Bokelj
1 : 0
Sutjeska
03 Aug
Sutjeska
0 : 1
Buducnost
30 Jul
Sutjeska
1 : 2
ML Vitebsk
23 Jul
ML Vitebsk
3 : 0
Sutjeska
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Jezero

(Away)
16 Aug
Petrovac
3 : 0
Jezero
09 Aug
Jezero
1 : 0
Mladost DG
02 Aug
Jezero
0 : 0
Mornar Bar
03 Jun
Iskra Danilovgrad
1 : 5
Jezero
29 May
Jezero
3 : 0
Iskra Danilovgrad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sutjeska 36 22 6 8 61:36 72
2 Mornar Bar 36 20 9 7 51:29 69
3 Petrovac 36 13 12 11 44:36 51
4 Decic 36 14 9 13 43:45 51
5 Buducnost 36 13 9 14 36:35 48
6 Mladost DG 36 14 4 18 49:54 46
7 Arsenal Tivat 36 12 10 14 36:46 46
8 Jezero 36 10 11 15 38:48 41
9 Bokelj 36 8 12 16 38:48 36
10 Jedinstvo 36 9 8 19 30:49 35
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)