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Sutton Coldfield Town vs Newcastle Town

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sutton Coldfield Town play Newcastle Town in the FA Trophy 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sutton Coldfield Town averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Newcastle Town averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. In past meetings, Sutton Coldfield Town won 3, Newcastle Town won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 7, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for Sutton Coldfield Town and 1.19 for Newcastle Town. This points to a Sutton Coldfield Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sutton Coldfield Town
15%
Draws
35%
Newcastle Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton Coldfield Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sutton Coldfield Town picked up more points recently compared to Newcastle Town.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.63 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Sutton Coldfield Town Clean Sheet 20%
Newcastle Town Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Coldfield Town Newcastle Town
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 1 6
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 FA Trophy
Sutton Coldfield Town vs Newcastle Town
3:1
Oct 30, 2021 FA Trophy
Sutton Coldfield Town vs Newcastle Town
1:0
Oct 18, 2014 FA Trophy
Newcastle Town vs Sutton Coldfield Town
2:0
Sep 17, 2013 FA Cup
Sutton Coldfield Town vs Newcastle Town
2:0
Sep 14, 2013 FA Cup
Newcastle Town vs Sutton Coldfield Town
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton Coldfield Town 49 / 100
Newcastle Town 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Coldfield Town Newcastle Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sutton Coldfield Town or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sutton Coldfield Town attacking → ← attacking Newcastle Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutton Coldfield Town scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Newcastle Town let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sutton Coldfield Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Newcastle Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 24
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13