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Suvermez Kapadokyaspor vs Osmaniyespor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suvermez Kapadokyaspor play Osmaniyespor in the 3. Lig Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Suvermez Kapadokyaspor averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Osmaniyespor averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Suvermez Kapadokyaspor won 0, Osmaniyespor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Suvermez Kapadokyaspor and 1.75 for Osmaniyespor. This points to a Osmaniyespor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
32%
Draws
42%
Osmaniyespor
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Osmaniyespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Suvermez Kapadokyaspor picked up more points recently compared to Osmaniyespor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor Clean Sheet 12%
Osmaniyespor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suvermez Kapadokyaspor Osmaniyespor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 13 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Osmaniyespor vs Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
3:3
Dec 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor vs Osmaniyespor
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suvermez Kapadokyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaeddinoglu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Osmaniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Varol G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koc Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 26 / 100
Osmaniyespor 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor Osmaniyespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Osmaniyespor or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Suvermez Kapadokyaspor attacking → ← attacking Osmaniyespor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suvermez Kapadokyaspor scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Osmaniyespor let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Suvermez Kapadokyaspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Osmaniyespor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 42
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
112 Bingol Spor30179460:2860
2Erciyes 38301310742:3149
3Silifke301212641:2648
4Malatya30138945:3547
5Mazidagi301211732:2447
6Agri 197030129957:3345
7Karakopru301281038:4244
8Osmaniyespor301261242:4042
9Nigde301181144:3641
10Kirikkale FK301171239:5140
11Kirsehir SK307131037:3834
12Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)308101233:4234
13Kahramanmarasspor307111235:4832
14Kilis Bld.30861625:5330
15Suvermez Kapadokyaspor305131229:4728
16Turk Metal 1963304111530:5520