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Suzhou Dongwu vs Yunnan Yukun

China China

FA Cup Suzhou Sports Centre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suzhou Dongwu play Yunnan Yukun in the FA Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Suzhou Dongwu averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Yunnan Yukun averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Suzhou Dongwu won 0, Yunnan Yukun won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.81 for Yunnan Yukun. This points to a Yunnan Yukun double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Suzhou Dongwu
28%
Draws
43%
Yunnan Yukun
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Yunnan Yukun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Suzhou Dongwu picked up more points recently compared to Yunnan Yukun.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Suzhou Dongwu Clean Sheet 11%
Yunnan Yukun Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suzhou Dongwu Yunnan Yukun
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.72 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 FA Cup
Suzhou Dongwu vs Yunnan Yukun
2:4
Oct 12, 2024 League One
Yunnan Yukun vs Suzhou Dongwu
3:0
Jun 1, 2024 League One
Suzhou Dongwu vs Yunnan Yukun
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suzhou Dongwu Compare

Top Goalscorer Song Pan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ali M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Yunnan Yukun Compare

Top Goalscorer Fei Ernanduo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhao Yuhao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suzhou Dongwu 28 / 100
Yunnan Yukun 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suzhou Dongwu Yunnan Yukun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yunnan Yukun or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Suzhou Dongwu attacking → ← attacking Yunnan Yukun

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suzhou Dongwu scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Yunnan Yukun let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Suzhou Dongwu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Yunnan Yukun lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 41
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50