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SV Dakota vs Santa Fe

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor 2024/2025
Sat, Sep 28, 2024
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Dakota host Santa Fe in the Division di Honor 2024/2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. SV Dakota have averaged 3.05 scored and 0.95 conceded recently, against Santa Fe's 1.95 scored and 2.48 conceded. Head-to-head, SV Dakota have won 2 to Santa Fe's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (3.04 - 1.13) back SV Dakota to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
SV Dakota
15%
Draws
53%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SV Dakota lately — more wins on the board than Santa Fe.
  • Model gives SV Dakota a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division di Honor 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SV Dakota here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
SV Dakota Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Dakota Santa Fe
Matches Played 40 21
Wins 28 9
Draws 5 1
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 3.05 1.95
Goals Conceded 0.95 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 3.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Division di Honor
SV Dakota vs Santa Fe
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Division di Honor
SV Dakota vs Santa Fe
4:1
Oct 16, 2022 Division di Honor
Santa Fe vs SV Dakota
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Dakota 85 / 100
Santa Fe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Dakota Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Dakota Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Dakota scored in 83% of their last 40 games.

Defensive concern: Santa Fe conceded in 81% of 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Solid form: SV Dakota remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SV Dakota VS -
4.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Dakota

(Home)
16 Jun
SV Dakota
0 : 2
Sporting
11 Jun
La Fama
0 : 2
SV Dakota
30 May
SV Dakota
0 : 1
Britannia
24 May
Britannia
2 : 1
SV Dakota
17 May
SV Dakota
7 : 0
Sporting
Page 1 of 8

Santa Fe

(Away)
15 May
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Bubali
05 May
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Jong Aruba
29 Apr
La Fama
8 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Apr
Santa Fe
5 : 0
Real Koyari
15 Apr
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Aruba 9 7 2 0 32:10 23
2 Britannia 9 7 2 0 27:5 23
3 SV Dakota 9 6 2 1 32:9 20
4 La Fama 9 5 1 3 23:10 16
5 Deportivo Nacional 9 4 1 4 21:11 13
6 Estrella 9 4 1 4 20:16 13
7 River Plate 9 4 1 4 21:18 13
8 United FC 9 1 1 7 12:31 4
9 Jong Aruba 9 1 1 7 8:38 4
10 Unistars 9 0 0 9 4:52 0
Promotion - Division di Honor 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Division di Honor 2024/2025 (Relegation)