Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026

SV Erlbach

1 - 0

FC Schwaig

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026 game between SV Erlbach and FC Schwaig finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Erlbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

SV Erlbach

11%

Draws

FC Schwaig

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

SV Erlbach carry the better recent record into this one.
SV Erlbach are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 10%

FC Schwaig Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SV Erlbach	FC Schwaig
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	15	11
Draws	4	8
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd

FC Schwaig vs SV Erlbach

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Oct 17, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd

SV Erlbach vs FC Schwaig

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Erlbach 74 / 100

FC Schwaig 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SV Erlbach FC Schwaig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Erlbach scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: FC Schwaig conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

SV Erlbach went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SV Erlbach VS FC Schwaig

1 Goals Scored 2.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Munich 1860 II	32	21	5	6	74:26	68
2	Landsberg	32	18	11	3	79:43	65
3	Kirchanschoring	32	16	10	6	67:35	58
4	Gundelfingen	32	16	7	9	51:33	55
5	SV Erlbach	32	16	5	11	42:35	53
6	Pipinsried	32	15	7	10	58:37	52
7	Heimstetten	32	14	9	9	64:46	51
8	Deisenhofen	32	13	10	9	44:47	49
9	FC Schwaig	32	12	9	11	48:44	45
10	Geretsried	32	12	8	12	49:46	44
11	Nordlingen	32	11	11	10	58:58	44
12	Ismaning	32	11	9	12	50:58	42
13	Schalding	32	9	11	12	43:50	38
14	Kottern-St. Mang	32	9	6	17	40:57	33
15	FC Sturm Hauzenberg	32	6	5	21	24:64	23
16	Turkspor Augsburg	32	4	5	23	28:83	17
17	Turkgucu Munchen	32	3	4	25	21:78	13