Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026

FC Sturm Hauzenberg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SV Erlbach play FC Sturm Hauzenberg in the Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026. SV Erlbach are favorites here. Recently, SV Erlbach averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. FC Sturm Hauzenberg averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, SV Erlbach won 2, FC Sturm Hauzenberg won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 20, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for SV Erlbach and 1.13 for FC Sturm Hauzenberg. This points to a SV Erlbach double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

SV Erlbach

16%

Draws

22%

FC Sturm Hauzenberg

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

SV Erlbach picked up more points recently compared to FC Sturm Hauzenberg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 21%

FC Sturm Hauzenberg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SV Erlbach	FC Sturm Hauzenberg
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	6
Draws	4	5
Losses	11	19
Goals Scored	1.41	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd

SV Erlbach vs FC Sturm Hauzenberg

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Aug 29, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd

FC Sturm Hauzenberg vs SV Erlbach

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 0 - 3

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Erlbach 60 / 100

FC Sturm Hauzenberg 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SV Erlbach FC Sturm Hauzenberg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (1)

Secondary Pick SV Erlbach & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SV Erlbach attacking → ← attacking FC Sturm Hauzenberg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Erlbach scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

FC Sturm Hauzenberg let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SV Erlbach went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Sturm Hauzenberg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 23

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Munich 1860 II	32	21	5	6	74:26	68
2	Landsberg	32	18	11	3	79:43	65
3	Kirchanschoring	32	16	10	6	67:35	58
4	Gundelfingen	32	16	7	9	51:33	55
5	SV Erlbach	32	16	5	11	42:35	53
6	Pipinsried	32	15	7	10	58:37	52
7	Heimstetten	32	14	9	9	64:46	51
8	Deisenhofen	32	13	10	9	44:47	49
9	FC Schwaig	32	12	9	11	48:44	45
10	Geretsried	32	12	8	12	49:46	44
11	Nordlingen	32	11	11	10	58:58	44
12	Ismaning	32	11	9	12	50:58	42
13	Schalding	32	9	11	12	43:50	38
14	Kottern-St. Mang	32	9	6	17	40:57	33
15	FC Sturm Hauzenberg	32	6	5	21	24:64	23
16	Turkspor Augsburg	32	4	5	23	28:83	17
17	Turkgucu Munchen	32	3	4	25	21:78	13