Sport Picks

Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2010/2011

Polonija Vilnius

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Svyturys Marijampole play Polonija Vilnius in the Lithuanian Cup 2010/2011. Svyturys Marijampole are favorites here. Recently, Svyturys Marijampole averaged 1.89 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. Polonija Vilnius averaged 2.4 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Svyturys Marijampole won 1, Polonija Vilnius won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 11, 2010 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Svyturys Marijampole and 1.72 for Polonija Vilnius. This points to a Svyturys Marijampole double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Svyturys Marijampole

15%

Draws

29%

Polonija Vilnius

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Svyturys Marijampole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Svyturys Marijampole picked up more points recently compared to Polonija Vilnius.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.72 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Svyturys Marijampole Clean Sheet 12%

Polonija Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Svyturys Marijampole	Polonija Vilnius
Matches Played	18	5
Wins	11	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	7	3
Goals Scored	1.89	2.4
Goals Conceded	2.11	3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2010 Lithuanian Cup

Svyturys Marijampole vs Polonija Vilnius

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svyturys Marijampole 53 / 100

Polonija Vilnius 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Svyturys Marijampole Polonija Vilnius

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svyturys Marijampole Win (1)

Secondary Pick Svyturys Marijampole & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.37

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Svyturys Marijampole attacking → ← attacking Polonija Vilnius

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svyturys Marijampole scored in 78% of their last 18 games.

Polonija Vilnius let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Svyturys Marijampole went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Polonija Vilnius lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 6

1.43 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00