Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SW Essen vs TVD Velbert

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Korytowski L.
26' Event
Bosnjak N.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Korytowski L.

AI Match Summary

SW Essen in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
SW Essen
20%
Draws
30%
TVD Velbert
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SW Essen lately — more wins on the board than TVD Velbert.
  • Model gives SW Essen a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 19%
TVD Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen TVD Velbert
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.83 1.2
Goals Conceded 2 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs TVD Velbert
8:0
Aug 18, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs SW Essen
1:1
May 26, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs SW Essen
0:3
Feb 11, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs TVD Velbert
1:1
Mar 22, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
TVD Velbert vs SW Essen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Korytowski L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Urban R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

TVD Velbert Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 85 / 100
TVD Velbert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen TVD Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SW Essen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SW Essen scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

TVD Velbert let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: SW Essen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
20 Sept
Solingen-Wald
3 : 2
SW Essen
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
30 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
22 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 4
SSVg Velbert
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TVD Velbert

(Away)
01 Jun
TVD Velbert
2 : 5
FC Monheim
25 May
Kleve
2 : 0
TVD Velbert
18 May
TVD Velbert
0 : 8
SC St.Tonis
09 May
Germania Ratingen
1 : 3
TVD Velbert
04 May
TVD Velbert
1 : 5
Meerbusch
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 34 22 8 4 82:31 74
2 Schonnebeck 34 22 6 6 108:39 72
3 SW Essen 34 21 6 7 74:42 69
4 SC St.Tonis 34 21 5 8 95:45 68
5 Homberg 34 19 5 10 67:46 62
6 Hilden 34 17 9 8 65:43 60
7 Buderich 34 16 5 13 79:74 53
8 Sonsbeck 34 13 6 15 52:63 45
9 Germania Ratingen 34 13 5 16 48:54 44
10 Meerbusch 34 11 10 13 63:63 43
11 SV Biemenhorst 34 12 6 16 50:75 42
12 FC Monheim 34 10 8 16 55:64 38
13 Kleve 34 8 13 13 45:53 37
14 Baumberg 34 9 8 17 47:72 35
15 Union Nettetal 34 8 6 20 44:73 30
16 SF Niederwenigern 34 6 11 17 43:70 29
17 Mulheimer FC 97 34 7 7 20 45:88 28
18 TVD Velbert 34 6 6 22 41:108 24
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)