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Swan City vs Tampa Bay U23

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tampa Bay U23 in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tampa Bay U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Swan City
17%
Draws
70%
Tampa Bay U23
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tampa Bay U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Swan City haven't matched Tampa Bay U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tampa Bay U23's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tampa Bay U23 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Swan City Clean Sheet 16%
Tampa Bay U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swan City Tampa Bay U23
Matches Played 24 27
Wins 3 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2024 USL League Two
Swan City vs Tampa Bay U23
1:2
Jun 16, 2024 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs Swan City
1:0
Jul 5, 2023 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs Swan City
6:1
Jun 7, 2023 USL League Two
Swan City vs Tampa Bay U23
2:2
May 24, 2023 USL League Two
Swan City vs Tampa Bay U23
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swan City 15 / 100
Tampa Bay U23 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swan City Tampa Bay U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay U23 let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Swan City scored in 50% of their last 24 outings.

Recent resilience: Swan City stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swan City VS Tampa Bay U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Swan City

(Home)
30 Jun
Swan City
1 : 0
Weston
26 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Tampa Bay U23
23 Jun
Swan City
0 : 3
Miami AC
19 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Miami AC
16 Jun
Tampa Bay U23
1 : 0
Swan City
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Tampa Bay U23

(Away)
10 Jul
Tampa Bay U23
1 : 3
St. Petersburg FC
03 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1
Tampa Bay U23
29 Jun
Tampa Bay U23
3 : 2
Miami AC
26 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Tampa Bay U23
22 Jun
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 1
Tampa Bay U23
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