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Swansea U21 vs Birmingham U21

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Davies J.
Assist: Bianchini F.
45' Event
Bianchini F.
Assist: Robinson M.
78' Event
Woodward T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Swansea U21
30%
Draws
37%
Birmingham U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Birmingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Swansea U21 have won more games recently than Birmingham U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Swansea U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Swansea U21, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Swansea U21 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Swansea U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Birmingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea U21 Birmingham U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Premier League Cup
Swansea U21 vs Birmingham U21
3:0
Apr 28, 2025 Professional Development League
Birmingham U21 vs Swansea U21
1:5
May 10, 2024 Professional Development League
Swansea U21 vs Birmingham U21
1:0
May 10, 2023 Professional Development League
Swansea U21 vs Birmingham U21
10:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bianchini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Birmingham U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea U21 31 / 100
Birmingham U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea U21 Birmingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea U21's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Birmingham U21 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.25 goals when they meet.

Swansea U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea U21 VS Birmingham U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
2 : 1
Swansea U21
14 Sept
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Huddersfield U21
07 Sept
Swansea U21
2 : 2
Huddersfield U21
01 Sept
Hull City U21
0 : 2
Swansea U21
25 Aug
Swansea U21
2 : 3
Peterborough U21
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Birmingham U21
0 : 0
Arsenal U21
15 Sept
Gillingham U21
0 : 4
Birmingham U21
11 Sept
Norwich U21
4 : 2
Birmingham U21
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
31 Aug
Tottenham U21
3 : 3
Birmingham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
2 QPR U21 2 1 0 1 6:5 3
3 Blackburn U21 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
4 Bolton U21 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff U21 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 Leicester U21 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Bournemouth U21 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Plymouth U21 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Swansea U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Birmingham U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Gillingham U21 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U21 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Luton U21 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Preston U21 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Burnley U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Fleetwood Town U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Sheffield Utd U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 West Ham U21 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
4 Millwall U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Norwich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Exeter U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Reading U21 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley U21 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
2 Ipswich U21 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
3 West Brom U21 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
4 Coventry U21 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Stockport U21 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
4 Stoke City U21 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hull City U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Brentford U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Wycombe U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams