Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sweden U18 vs Poland U18

World World

Friendly International 2025 Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Synos M.
32'
Lahdo A.
46'
Sub
Gujda D. In: Dziewiatowski M.
Out: Gujda D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sweden U18
20%
Draws
45%
Poland U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Poland U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Poland U18 lately — more wins on the board than Sweden U18.
  • Model gives Sweden U18 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sweden U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Poland U18 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U18 Poland U18
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.58 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Sweden U18 vs Poland U18
2:2
Oct 12, 2023 Friendly International
Poland U18 vs Sweden U18
4:1
Jun 2, 2011 Friendly International
Sweden U18 vs Poland U18
1:0
May 31, 2011 Friendly International
Sweden U18 vs Poland U18
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bozicevic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Poland U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Synos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U18 40 / 100
Poland U18 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U18 Poland U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U18 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Sweden U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Poland U18 conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U18 VS Poland U18
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U18

(Home)
08 Jun
Sweden U18
3 : 1
Wales U19
05 Jun
USA U18
0 : 2
Sweden U18
03 Jun
Sweden U18
6 : 2
Qatar U20
17 Nov
Sweden U18
2 : 2
Netherlands U18
13 Nov
Sweden U18
1 : 2
Denmark U18
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Poland U18

(Away)
16 Nov
Poland U18
4 : 1
Denmark U18
13 Nov
Poland U18
1 : 1
Norway U18
13 Oct
Netherlands U18
1 : 2
Poland U18
11 Oct
Poland U18
2 : 0
Ireland U18
09 Sept
Poland U18
1 : 0
South Korea U18
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