Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swidniczanka Swidnik vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bialek W.
54' Event
Figiel K.
60' Event
Bialek W.

AI Match Summary

Swidniczanka Swidnik in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swidniczanka Swidnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Swidniczanka Swidnik
20%
Draws
38%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Swidniczanka Swidnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swidniczanka Swidnik lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Swidniczanka Swidnik taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Swidniczanka Swidnik Clean Sheet 13%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swidniczanka Swidnik Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 23 27
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.88 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Swidniczanka Swidnik vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
4:1
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Swidniczanka Swidnik
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swidniczanka Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Bialek W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Figiel K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudchenko Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swidniczanka Swidnik 40 / 100
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swidniczanka Swidnik Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Swidniczanka Swidnik's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Sparta Kazimierza Wielka has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swidniczanka Swidnik VS Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Swidniczanka Swidnik

(Home)
30 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0
Swidniczanka Swidnik
16 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
3 : 1
Swidniczanka Swidnik
13 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 3
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 May
Biala Podlaska
3 : 0
Swidniczanka Swidnik
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Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

(Away)
30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5
Biala Podlaska
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)