Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Swit Mazowiecki

3 - 3

Zabkovia Zabki

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Olpinski A.

44'

Gaj S.

44'

Gaj S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Swit Mazowiecki and Zabkovia Zabki finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Swit Mazowiecki

44%

Draws

20%

Zabkovia Zabki

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Swit Mazowiecki come out ahead of Zabkovia Zabki on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 13%

Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Swit Mazowiecki	Zabkovia Zabki
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	9	6
Draws	5	5
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1.88	1.25
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Swit Mazowiecki vs Zabkovia Zabki

3:3

Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Zabkovia Zabki vs Swit Mazowiecki

5:1

May 18, 2001 Division 1

Swit Mazowiecki vs Zabkovia Zabki

6:1

Oct 20, 2000 Division 1

Zabkovia Zabki vs Swit Mazowiecki

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Olpinski A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zbikowski K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Zabkovia Zabki Compare

Top Goalscorer Augustyniak M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Wojtysiak O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Mazowiecki 35 / 100

Zabkovia Zabki 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Swit Mazowiecki Zabkovia Zabki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAB Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zabkovia Zabki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Swit Mazowiecki scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Swit Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swit Mazowiecki VS Zabkovia Zabki

1.88 Goals Scored 1.25

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Swit Mazowiecki

(Home)

18 Jul

Swit Mazowiecki

2 : 2

Pruszkow

15 Jul

Pelikan

2 : 1

Swit Mazowiecki

11 Jul

Swit Mazowiecki

3 : 1

Hutnik Warszawa

30 May

Suwalki

3 : 2

Swit Mazowiecki

23 May

Swit Mazowiecki

2 : 3

Plock II

Page 1 of 6

Zabkovia Zabki

(Away)

24 Jul

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

1 : 1

Zabkovia Zabki

30 May

Widzew Lodz II

2 : 1

Zabkovia Zabki

23 May

Zabkovia Zabki

2 : 2

GKS Wikielec

16 May

Znicz Biala Piska

2 : 6

Zabkovia Zabki

13 May

Zabkovia Zabki

0 : 0

Bron Radom

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15

Promotion - Division 2 (Main)

Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)