Sport Picks
Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 Sydney Football Stadium, Sydney 
Match Events
17'
17'
Okon-Engstler P.
50'
50'
Stamatelopoulos A.
58'
58'
Adams E.
Assist: Taylor C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Newcastle Jets come out ahead of Sydney FC on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Newcastle Jets arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Newcastle Jets, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sydney FC Clean Sheet 17%
Newcastle Jets Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sydney FC | Newcastle Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Sydney FC
1:2
May 9, 2026 A-League
Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 A-League
Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Sydney FC
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 A-League
Newcastle Jets vs Sydney FC
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sydney FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Stamatelopoulos A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Newcastle Jets Compare
Top Goalscorer Adams E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sydney FC 31 / 100
Newcastle Jets 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sydney FC Newcastle Jets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Jets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Sydney FC scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Sydney FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sydney FC VS Newcastle Jets
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sydney FC
(Home) 23 May
Auckland FC
1 : 0 Sydney FC
16 May
Newcastle Jets
1 : 2 Sydney FC
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1 Newcastle Jets
02 May
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1 Sydney FC
26 Apr
Sydney FC
2 : 2 Auckland FC
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1 Newcastle Jets
26 Apr
Sydney FC
2 : 2 Auckland FC
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0 Perth Glory
22 Mar
Sydney FC
1 : 2 Newcastle Jets
17 Mar
Sydney FC
0 : 1 Melbourne City
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Jets
(Away) 16 May
Newcastle Jets
1 : 2 Sydney FC
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1 Newcastle Jets
25 Apr
Newcastle Jets
4 : 0 Central Coast
17 Apr
Melbourne Victory
2 : 2 Newcastle Jets
11 Apr
Newcastle Jets
1 : 1 Adelaide Utd
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Sydney FC
1 : 1 Newcastle Jets
17 Apr
Melbourne Victory
2 : 2 Newcastle Jets
02 Apr
Macarthur FC
3 : 2 Newcastle Jets
22 Mar
Sydney FC
1 : 2 Newcastle Jets
28 Feb
Central Coast
0 : 0 Newcastle Jets
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Adelaide Utd-
TBD-
Auckland FC2
Melbourne City1
Newcastle Jets-
TBD-
Melbourne Victory0
Sydney FC1
Semi-finals
Adelaide Utd1
Auckland FC4
Newcastle Jets2
Sydney FC3
Final
Auckland FC1
Sydney FC0