Sport Picks
Sydney FC U23 vs St George Saints
Australia
NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney 
Match Events
36'
36'
Macallister M.
42'
42'
Farias R.
45'
45'
Glasson M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between Sydney FC U23 and St George Saints finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sydney FC U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sydney FC U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sydney FC U23 come out ahead of St George Saints on wins alone.
- Model gives Sydney FC U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 19%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sydney FC U23 | St George Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St George Saints
4:2
Aug 15, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St George Saints
1:1
May 27, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney FC U23
1:0
Jun 7, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St George Saints
2:1
Mar 2, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney FC U23
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sydney FC U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Macallister M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Farias R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
St George Saints Compare
Top Goalscorer Casella J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wright K. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sydney FC U23 85 / 100
St George Saints 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sydney FC U23 St George Saints
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SYD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St George Saints's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Sydney FC U23 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
St George Saints has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Sydney FC U23 VS St George Saints
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sydney FC U23
(Home) 17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0 Manly Utd
11 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Sydney FC U23
04 Jul
UNSW
3 : 2 Sydney FC U23
30 Jun
SD Raiders
0 : 1 Sydney FC U23
26 Jun
Sydney FC U23
1 : 0 Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0 Manly Utd
26 Jun
Sydney FC U23
1 : 0 Sydney Utd
05 Jun
Sydney FC U23
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
29 May
Sydney FC U23
0 : 6 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
15 May
Sydney FC U23
2 : 0 Sydney Olympic
Page 1 of 4
St George Saints
(Away) 18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6 Rockdale Ilinden
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 St George Saints
05 Jul
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0 St George Saints
27 Jun
St George Saints
1 : 2 Sydney Olympic
20 Jun
Manly Utd
2 : 0 St George Saints
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 St George Saints
05 Jul
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0 St George Saints
20 Jun
Manly Utd
2 : 0 St George Saints
13 Jun
UNSW
1 : 4 St George Saints
24 May
Wollongong
2 : 0 St George Saints
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 45:15 | 55 |
| 2 | APIA Leichhardt | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 52:30 | 54 |
| 3 | Sydney Utd | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 35:17 | 51 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42:33 | 39 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 37:31 | 36 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U23 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32:34 | 35 |
| 7 | Wollongong | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:32 | 32 |
| 8 | UNSW | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 35:36 | 31 |
| 9 | NWS Spirit | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:30 | 31 |
| 10 | Manly Utd | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 25:29 | 31 |
| 11 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 29 |
| 12 | SD Raiders | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | 29 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 33:39 | 25 |
| 14 | St. George City | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 22:40 | 25 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 23:45 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26:50 | 19 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)