Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sydney Utd vs Manly Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Sydney United Sports Centre, Sydney
Sydney Utd Logo

Sydney Utd

3 - 1
FT
Manly Utd Logo

Manly Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Cop J.
38' Event
Koop B.
39' Event
Wells M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sydney Utd
15%
Draws
35%
Manly Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sydney Utd lately — more wins on the board than Manly Utd.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Sydney Utd taking it.
  • Sydney Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sydney Utd, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 17%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney Utd Manly Utd
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 21 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Manly Utd
3:1
Jun 12, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sydney Utd
1:1
Feb 27, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Manly Utd
2:0
Jun 8, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Manly Utd
1:0
Feb 21, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sydney Utd
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Cop J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wells M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Manly Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Koop B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney Utd 66 / 100
Manly Utd 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney Utd Manly Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sydney Utd stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sydney Utd scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Manly Utd conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sydney Utd VS Manly Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sydney Utd

(Home)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
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Manly Utd

(Away)
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4
NWS Spirit
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
APIA Leichhardt -
TBD -
Marconi Stallions 1
NWS Spirit 3
Sydney Utd -
TBD -
Sutherland Sharks 1
Manly Utd 2
Semi-finals
APIA Leichhardt 3
NWS Spirit 0
Sydney Utd 3
Manly Utd 1
Final
APIA Leichhardt 1
Sydney Utd 3