Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sydney Utd vs St George Saints Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Sydney United Sports Centre, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Krslovic M.
21' Event
Krslovic M.
23' Event
Krslovic M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Sydney Utd and St George Saints finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sydney Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sydney Utd
20%
Draws
35%
St George Saints
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sydney Utd come out ahead of St George Saints on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Sydney Utd taking it.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 20%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney Utd St George Saints
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.64 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs St George Saints
6:0
May 16, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney Utd
1:3
Aug 3, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs St George Saints
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney Utd
2:4
Jun 23, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs St George Saints
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Krslovic M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader De Oliveira C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

St George Saints Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney Utd 85 / 100
St George Saints 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney Utd St George Saints

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Sydney Utd went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sydney Utd scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

St George Saints's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sydney Utd VS St George Saints
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sydney Utd

(Home)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 7

St George Saints

(Away)
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1
Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0
St George Saints
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0
Blacktown City
15 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1 : 2
St George Saints
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)