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Stadium Background

Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Starfire Sports, Tukwila, WA
Mon, Mar 2, 2026
2 - 3
03:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Mihalic T.
Assist: Evans M.
7'
Babineau T.
61'
Sub
Petkovic N. In: Jauregui R.
Out: Petkovic N.

AI Match Summary

Los Angeles FC 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Los Angeles FC 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tacoma Defiance
28%
Draws
22%
Los Angeles FC 2
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tacoma Defiance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tacoma Defiance have won more games recently than Los Angeles FC 2.
  • Model gives Tacoma Defiance a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 20%
Los Angeles FC 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacoma Defiance Los Angeles FC 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC 2
4:1
Mar 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC 2
2:3
Aug 11, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Los Angeles FC 2
4:2
Jun 29, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Los Angeles FC 2 vs Tacoma Defiance
2:3
Apr 11, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Los Angeles FC 2 vs Tacoma Defiance
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsukanome Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bronnik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Los Angeles FC 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihalic T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacoma Defiance 49 / 100
Los Angeles FC 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacoma Defiance Los Angeles FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Angeles FC 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Tacoma Defiance found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Tacoma Defiance stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacoma Defiance VS Los Angeles FC 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacoma Defiance

(Home)
20 Jul
Real Monarchs
2 : 4
Tacoma Defiance
13 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1
Tacoma Defiance
06 Jul
Tacoma Defiance
0 : 2
Portland Timbers 2
29 Jun
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
22 Jun
Tacoma Defiance
1 : 0
Real Monarchs
Page 1 of 6

Los Angeles FC 2

(Away)
19 Jul
Ventura County
2 : 0
Los Angeles FC 2
12 Jul
Los Angeles FC 2
0 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
06 Jul
Los Angeles FC 2
2 : 3
Real Monarchs
29 Jun
Los Angeles FC 2
3 : 1
Houston Dynamo 2
25 Jun
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 0
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New England Revolution II18120626:2035
3New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
4CT United FC18100833:3228
5New York City II1790827:2628
6Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
7Toronto FC II19801130:3625
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy18130544:2737
2Orlando City B19120740:3335
3Chattanooga19120735:3034
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core20601426:3221
8Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County19110834:2732
3Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
4San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs19100931:3526
7Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas1780927:2125
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2Crown Legacy18130544:2737
3New England Revolution II18120626:2035
4Orlando City B19120740:3335
5Chattanooga19120735:3034
6New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8CT United FC18100833:3228
9New York City II1790827:2628
10Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
11Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
12Toronto FC II19801130:3625
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core20601426:3221
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County19110834:2732
5Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
6St. Louis City 219100930:3229
7Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10Real Monarchs19100931:3526
11North Texas1780927:2125
12Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)