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Tacoma Stars vs Portland (Capital) U23

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tacoma Stars in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tacoma Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Tacoma Stars
11%
Draws
80%
Portland (Capital) U23
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Portland (Capital) U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Tacoma Stars haven't matched Portland (Capital) U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Portland (Capital) U23 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Tacoma Stars Clean Sheet 11%
Portland (Capital) U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacoma Stars Portland (Capital) U23
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 2.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2024 USL League Two
Tacoma Stars vs Portland (Capital) U23
3:2
May 26, 2024 USL League Two
Portland (Capital) U23 vs Tacoma Stars
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacoma Stars 10 / 100
Portland (Capital) U23 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacoma Stars Portland (Capital) U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portland (Capital) U23 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Tacoma Stars's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Portland (Capital) U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacoma Stars VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacoma Stars

(Home)
08 Jul
Tacoma Stars
2 : 1
Midlakes United
05 Jul
Ballard
7 : 0
Tacoma Stars
04 Jul
Tacoma Stars
2 : 2
Snohomish United
01 Jul
Snohomish United
2 : 1
Tacoma Stars
28 Jun
Tacoma Stars
1 : 2
West Seattle Junction
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Portland (Capital) U23

(Away)
14 Jul
Midlakes United
1 : 0
Portland (Capital) U23
10 Jul
Portland (Capital) U23
2 : 1
Lane United FC
07 Jul
Tacoma Stars
3 : 2
Portland (Capital) U23
06 Jul
Portland (Capital) U23
2 : 3
United PDX
04 Jul
Lane United FC
0 : 1
Portland (Capital) U23
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