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Tacuarembo vs Paysandu FC

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Lopez I.
70'
Lucao

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Tacuarembo and Paysandu FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacuarembo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tacuarembo
22%
Draws
18%
Paysandu FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tacuarembo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Paysandu FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tacuarembo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tacuarembo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Paysandu FC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Paysandu FC
1:0
Oct 16, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Tacuarembo vs Paysandu FC
1:0
Jun 12, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Paysandu FC vs Tacuarembo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuarembo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Paysandu FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 68 / 100
Paysandu FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Paysandu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu FC let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tacuarembo scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Paysandu FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tacuarembo VS Paysandu FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas1061318:1119
2Cerrito1154215:1319
3River Plate Montevideo1153318:1718
4Club Oriental De Futbol1136216:1315
5Colon1043310:915
6Rentistas1143411:1315
7Tacuarembo104248:1014
8Fenix1034314:1213
9Miramar1034314:1213
10La Luz103438:813
11Plaza Colonia1041510:1113
12Huracan FC113358:1312
13Paysandu FC1031612:1510
14Uruguay Montevideo FC1123611:169