Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tahiti U19 vs Papua New Guinea U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tahiti U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tahiti U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tahiti U19
17%
Draws
13%
Papua New Guinea U19
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tahiti U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Tahiti U19 have won more games recently than Papua New Guinea U19.
  • Model gives Tahiti U19 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Tahiti U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Papua New Guinea U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti U19 Papua New Guinea U19
Matches Played 15 18
Wins 8 5
Draws 1 1
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2022 OFC Championship U19
Tahiti U19 vs Papua New Guinea U19
3:0
Aug 9, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Tahiti U19 vs Papua New Guinea U19
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti U19 67 / 100
Papua New Guinea U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti U19 Papua New Guinea U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Tahiti U19 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (15 games).

Papua New Guinea U19 has conceded goals in 78% of their last 18 outings.

Papua New Guinea U19's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti U19 VS Papua New Guinea U19
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 3.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tahiti U19

(Home)
16 Jul
Tahiti U19
4 : 0
Samoa U19
11 Jul
Tahiti U19
0 : 1
Solomon Islands U19
08 Jul
Vanuatu U19
0 : 1
Tahiti U19
04 Jul
Fiji U19
3 : 1
Tahiti U19
25 Sept
New Caledonia U19
2 : 1
Tahiti U19
Page 1 of 3

Papua New Guinea U19

(Away)
13 Jun
Papua New Guinea U19
5 : 1
Cook Islands U19
07 Jun
Tonga U19
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea U19
15 Jul
Vanuatu U19
3 : 2
Papua New Guinea U19
11 Jul
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 10
New Zealand U19
08 Jul
Papua New Guinea U19
1 : 2
New Caledonia U19
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U19330023:09
2Solomon Islands U1932019:66
3Cook Islands U1931024:113
4American Samoa U1930030:190
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tahiti U19321011:07
2Fiji U1932106:07
3Papua New Guinea U1931023:63
4Tonga U1930030:140
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Caledonia U1922007:06
2Samoa U1921013:43
3Vanuatu U1920020:60
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams