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Tajikistan U20 vs Turkmenistan U20

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Friendly International Hisor Central Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Tajikistan U20 play Turkmenistan U20 in the Friendly International. Tajikistan U20 are favorites here. Recently, Tajikistan U20 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Turkmenistan U20 averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Tajikistan U20 won 1, Turkmenistan U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Tajikistan U20 and 1.38 for Turkmenistan U20. This points to a Tajikistan U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Tajikistan U20
16%
Draws
25%
Turkmenistan U20
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Tajikistan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tajikistan U20 picked up more points recently compared to Turkmenistan U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Tajikistan U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Turkmenistan U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tajikistan U20 Turkmenistan U20
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 1
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Friendly International
Tajikistan U20 vs Turkmenistan U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tajikistan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Qahorov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Turkmenistan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Urazov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan U20 57 / 100
Turkmenistan U20 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tajikistan U20 Turkmenistan U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tajikistan U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tajikistan U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tajikistan U20 attacking → ← attacking Turkmenistan U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tajikistan U20 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Turkmenistan U20 let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tajikistan U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Turkmenistan U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 13
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38