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Tajikistan U23 vs Nasaf Qarshi

World World

Friendly International 2024
Tue, Jan 23, 2024
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tajikistan U23 host Nasaf Qarshi in the Friendly International 2024. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Tajikistan U23 at 0.5 goals for, 1 against; Nasaf Qarshi at 1.13 for, 0.5 against. Head-to-head, Tajikistan U23 have won 0 to Nasaf Qarshi's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.50 - 1.06) back Tajikistan U23 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tajikistan U23
39%
Draws
30%
Nasaf Qarshi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tajikistan U23 have won more games recently than Nasaf Qarshi.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tajikistan U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tajikistan U23 Nasaf Qarshi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2024 Friendly International
Tajikistan U23 vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan U23 32 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tajikistan U23 Nasaf Qarshi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nasaf Qarshi has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Tajikistan U23's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Solid form: Tajikistan U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tajikistan U23 VS Nasaf Qarshi
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%