Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tak Chun Ka I vs University of Macau

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Blanc S.
57' Event
68' Event
Chi Hin I.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2024 game between Tak Chun Ka I and University of Macau finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward University of Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tak Chun Ka I
33%
Draws
40%
University of Macau
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: University of Macau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • University of Macau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives University of Macau a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elite League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and University of Macau have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 25%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tak Chun Ka I University of Macau
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 11
Draws 1 2
Losses 25 25
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Tak Chun Ka I
4:0
Jun 1, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs University of Macau
0:5
Mar 10, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs University of Macau
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanc S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

University of Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Chi Hin I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Noronha A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tak Chun Ka I 29 / 100
University of Macau 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tak Chun Ka I University of Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

University of Macau let in goals in 84% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Tak Chun Ka I scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: University of Macau has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS University of Macau
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 4.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tak Chun Ka I

(Home)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
Page 1 of 6

University of Macau

(Away)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
12 Jul
Artilheiros
3 : 2
University of Macau
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
28 Jun
G. Universe
5 : 3
University of Macau
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO981049:225
2Benfica980137:824
3Cheng Fung962118:620
4Hang Sai941416:2213
5Lun Lok941420:2813
6University of Macau941414:1813
7Monte Carlo931510:1510
8Gala921617:177
9Tak Chun Ka I910810:443
10Sporting Macau90278:392
Promotion - Elite League 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2024 (Relegation Group)