Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tak Chun Ka I vs University of Macau

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tak Chun Ka I play University of Macau in the Elite League 2024. University of Macau are favorites here. Recently, Tak Chun Ka I averaged 1.23 goals scored and 4.67 conceded. University of Macau averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.85 conceded. In past meetings, Tak Chun Ka I won 0, University of Macau won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 19, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.54 for Tak Chun Ka I and 0.80 for University of Macau. This points to a University of Macau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tak Chun Ka I
15%
Draws
69%
University of Macau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: University of Macau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tak Chun Ka I picked up more points recently compared to University of Macau.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.54 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 26%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 91%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tak Chun Ka I University of Macau
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 4 14
Draws 1 2
Losses 25 23
Goals Scored 1.23 1.67
Goals Conceded 4.67 2.85

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Tak Chun Ka I
4:0
Jun 1, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs University of Macau
0:5
Mar 10, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs University of Macau
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanc S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

University of Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Chi Hin I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Noronha A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tak Chun Ka I 20 / 100
University of Macau 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tak Chun Ka I University of Macau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick University of Macau Win (2)
Secondary Pick University of Macau & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tak Chun Ka I attacking → ← attacking University of Macau

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tak Chun Ka I scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

University of Macau let in goals in 82% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Tak Chun Ka I went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

University of Macau lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 44
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Must IPO981049:225
2Benfica980137:824
3Cheng Fung962118:620
4Hang Sai941416:2213
5Lun Lok941420:2813
6University of Macau941414:1813
7Monte Carlo931510:1510
8Gala921617:177
9Tak Chun Ka I910810:443
10Sporting Macau90278:392