Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Takovo vs Sumadija Arandjelovac

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2019/2020
Sat, Apr 18, 2020
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Takovo host Sumadija Arandjelovac in the Srpska Liga - West 2019/2020. Takovo are expected to control this from the start. Takovo have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Sumadija Arandjelovac's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Takovo slightly — 2-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2021, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 1.31) point toward Takovo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Takovo
6%
Draws
4%
Sumadija Arandjelovac
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Takovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Takovo come out ahead of Sumadija Arandjelovac on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Takovo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Takovo Clean Sheet 18%
Sumadija Arandjelovac Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Takovo Sumadija Arandjelovac
Matches Played 51 31
Wins 21 4
Draws 15 5
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2021 Srpska Liga - West
Takovo vs Sumadija Arandjelovac
2:2
Oct 3, 2020 Srpska Liga - West
Sumadija Arandjelovac vs Takovo
1:4
Apr 18, 2020 Srpska Liga - West
Takovo vs Sumadija Arandjelovac
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 Srpska Liga - West
Sumadija Arandjelovac vs Takovo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Takovo 85 / 100
Sumadija Arandjelovac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Takovo Sumadija Arandjelovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sumadija Arandjelovac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Sumadija Arandjelovac has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Takovo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (51 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Takovo VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Takovo

(Home)
07 Jun
Buducnost Krusik
1 : 1
Takovo
31 May
Takovo
1 : 3
Sloboda
24 May
Jedinstvo Putevi
0 : 1
Takovo
16 May
Takovo
0 : 0
Omladinac Zablace
09 May
Takovo
2 : 0
Polimlje
Page 1 of 11

Sumadija Arandjelovac

(Away)
06 Jun
Sumadija Arandjelovac
0 : 4
Josanica
30 May
Gruza
4 : 2
Sumadija Arandjelovac
26 May
Sumadija Arandjelovac
1 : 2
Macva Bogatic
23 May
Buducnost Arilje
4 : 2
Sumadija Arandjelovac
15 May
Jedinstvo Ub
3 : 0
Sumadija Arandjelovac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Borac 192619162150:1350
2Sloga Pozega19113532:1636
3Buducnost Krusik19106324:1236
4Jedinstvo Ub19112624:1735
5Sloga Petrovac19102731:2632
6Tutin1994630:2031
7Loznica1994623:2131
8Susica1993731:2930
9Trepca1985624:1929
10Josanica1884618:1727
11Sloga Kraljevo1964922:2522
12Takovo19611214:2819
13OFK Mihajlovac19531123:3218
14RSK Rabrovo19531124:3618
15Macva Bogatic19451017:2417
16Mladi Radnik19451016:2817
17Sumadija Arandjelovac19441117:3516
18Mokra Gora18341110:3213
Promotion - Prva Liga 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Prva Liga 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Prva Liga 2020/2021 (Main)