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Tallinn Forza vs Vaatsa Vald

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tallinn Forza play Vaatsa Vald in the Estonian Cup 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tallinn Forza averaged 3.5 goals scored and 3 conceded. Vaatsa Vald averaged 1.78 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Tallinn Forza won 1, Vaatsa Vald won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 21, 2015 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.19 for Tallinn Forza and 2.50 for Vaatsa Vald. This points to a Tallinn Forza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Tallinn Forza
15%
Draws
32%
Vaatsa Vald
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinn Forza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Tallinn Forza picked up more points recently compared to Vaatsa Vald.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.19 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 56%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Tallinn Forza Clean Sheet 10%
Vaatsa Vald Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinn Forza Vaatsa Vald
Matches Played 6 9
Wins 4 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 3.5 1.78
Goals Conceded 3 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2015 Estonian Cup
Tallinn Forza vs Vaatsa Vald
6:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinn Forza 50 / 100
Vaatsa Vald 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinn Forza Vaatsa Vald

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinn Forza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tallinn Forza & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.9%
1.15
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tallinn Forza attacking → ← attacking Vaatsa Vald

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinn Forza scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Vaatsa Vald let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Tallinn Forza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vaatsa Vald lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 12
3.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88