Sport Picks
Tallinna FC Zapoos vs Vandra Vaprus
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 6-0, with Tallinna FC Zapoos advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tallinna FC Zapoos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Vandra Vaprus carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Tallinna FC Zapoos taking it.
- Vandra Vaprus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tallinna FC Zapoos, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tallinna FC Zapoos Clean Sheet 10%
Vandra Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tallinna FC Zapoos | Vandra Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 4 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 4.00 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2023 Estonian Cup
Tallinna FC Zapoos vs Vandra Vaprus
6:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tallinna FC Zapoos 83 / 100
Vandra Vaprus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tallinna FC Zapoos Vandra Vaprus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tallinna FC Zapoos scored in 89% of their last 18 outings.
Vandra Vaprus let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Vandra Vaprus's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Tallinna FC Zapoos VS Vandra Vaprus
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
4 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Tallinna FC Zapoos
(Home) 28 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 1 Tallinna FC Zapoos
29 Oct
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2 : 4 Parnu JK Vaprus
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0 Saku Sporting
06 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
7 : 0 FC Hell Hunt
04 Mar
Levadia
7 : 0 Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 4
29 Oct
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2 : 4 Parnu JK Vaprus
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0 Saku Sporting
06 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
7 : 0 FC Hell Hunt
06 Jul
Tallinna FC Zapoos
4 : 3 Sillamae Silmet
23 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
1 : 4 Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 2
Vandra Vaprus
(Away) 28 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6 : 0 Vandra Vaprus
11 Aug
Tulevik
4 : 1 Vandra Vaprus
14 Nov
Vandra Vaprus
2 : 2 Laanemaa Haapsalu
06 Nov
Kalju U21
3 : 2 Vandra Vaprus
31 Oct
Legion U21
1 : 4 Vandra Vaprus
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6 : 0 Vandra Vaprus
11 Aug
Tulevik
4 : 1 Vandra Vaprus
06 Nov
Kalju U21
3 : 2 Vandra Vaprus
31 Oct
Legion U21
1 : 4 Vandra Vaprus
23 Oct
Tallinna Kalev U21
5 : 2 Vandra Vaprus
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2-
TBD-
Tartu Kalev9
FC Sssolutions0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Levadia-
Tallinna Kalev III0
Legion10
TBD-
Johvi Phoenix-
Tammeka Tartu-
TBD-
TBD-
Imavere Forss-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Alliance-
Elva-
TBD-
TBD-
Saue JK Laagri-
Tervis Parnu-
TBD-
TBD-
FCP Parnu-
Maksatransport-
TBD-
TBD-
Loo JK-
Raplamaa-
TBD-
TBD-
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
Valga Warrior-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Poseidon-
Arukula Vigri-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora IV-
Maardu Aliens-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Tallinn-
Kristiine2
Kohvile3
Viimsi JK4
Paide Linnameeskond III0
Narva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohja-Tallinna2
Rumori Calcio4
Zenit Tallinn3
Hiiumaa1
Tallinna Gorillad-
TBD-
TBD-
Tabasalu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Helm-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu-
Saku Sporting-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev U21-
Jogeva Wolves0
Kuressaare8
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani-
Sillamae Silmet-
TBD-
TBD-
Kose-
Flora Tallinn U21-
TBD-
Keila JK11
JK Jalgpallihaigla0
Legion II-
TBD-
TBD-
Soccernet-
Kalju-
TBD-
Tabasalu Ulasabat4
Flora U190
TransferWise1
Tallinna Wolves0
TBD-
Tulevik-
Rumori Calcio II-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympic Tallinn-
Harju JK Laagri-
TBD-
TBD-
Pelgu City-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
TBD-
TBD-
Vandra Vaprus-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev20
Vana Hea Puur0
Drakon0
Nomme Utd12
TBD-
Tallinn Piraaja-
Eston Villa-
TBD-
TBD-
Marjamaa Kompanii-
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 22
Tartu Kalev3
TBD-
Levadia-
Legion3
Johvi Phoenix0
Tammeka Tartu-
Imavere Forss-
Flora-
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus6
FC Alliance1
Elva1
Saue JK Laagri0
Tervis Parnu8
FCP Parnu3
Maksatransport5
Loo JK1
Raplamaa1
Laanemaa Haapsalu5
Valga Warrior1
JK Poseidon6
Arukula Vigri3
Flora IV2
Maardu Aliens-
FC Tallinn-
Kohvile0
Viimsi JK3
Narva-
TBD-
Rumori Calcio3
Zenit Tallinn8
Tallinna Gorillad0
Tabasalu16
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Helm2
Parnu0
Saku Sporting2
Tallinna Kalev U213
Kuressaare-
Jarva-Jaani-
Sillamae Silmet0
Kose4
Flora Tallinn U212
Keila JK0
Legion II3
Soccernet1
Kalju4
Tabasalu Ulasabat0
TransferWise0
Tulevik3
Rumori Calcio II0
Olympic Tallinn3
Harju JK Laagri12
Pelgu City0
Tallinna FC Zapoos6
Vandra Vaprus0
Tartu JK Welco0
Tallinna Kalev4
Nomme Utd4
Tallinn Piraaja0
Eston Villa3
Marjamaa Kompanii0
1/16-finals
Tartu Kalev2
Levadia6
Legion1
Tammeka Tartu3
Flora1
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Elva5
Tervis Parnu2
Maksatransport0
Laanemaa Haapsalu3
JK Poseidon2
Arukula Vigri3
FC Tallinn1
Viimsi JK2
Narva5
Zenit Tallinn0
Tabasalu1
Paide Linnameeskond3
Helm3
Tallinna Kalev U217
Kuressaare9
Kose1
Flora Tallinn U2113
Legion II0
Kalju5
Tulevik1
Olympic Tallinn0
Harju JK Laagri8
Tallinna FC Zapoos1
Tallinna Kalev4
Nomme Utd11
Eston Villa1
1/8-finals
Levadia4
Tammeka Tartu2
Flora10
Elva0
Laanemaa Haapsalu9
Arukula Vigri1
Viimsi JK1
Narva0
Paide Linnameeskond4
Tallinna Kalev U210
Kuressaare4
Flora Tallinn U212
Kalju3
Harju JK Laagri1
Tallinna Kalev3
Nomme Utd1
Quarter-finals
Levadia2
Flora1
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
Viimsi JK3
Paide Linnameeskond2
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
Tallinna Kalev1
Semi-finals
Levadia1
Viimsi JK0
Paide Linnameeskond3
Kalju1
Final
Levadia4
Paide Linnameeskond2
