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Tammeka Tartu W vs Tallinna Kalev W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Tartu Sepa kunstmuruväljak, Tartu
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Vaarsi R.
20' Event
Kelli A.
28' Event
Vilipuu A.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women 2025 game between Tammeka Tartu W and Tallinna Kalev W finished 4-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tammeka Tartu W
6%
Draws
90%
Tallinna Kalev W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tallinna Kalev W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tallinna Kalev W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tammeka Tartu W Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu W Tallinna Kalev W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 3.5 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Tammeka Tartu W
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs Tallinna Kalev W
2:3
Aug 2, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs Tallinna Kalev W
4:6
Mar 28, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Tammeka Tartu W
3:4
Nov 9, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs Tallinna Kalev W
6:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kala A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vaarsi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Tallinna Kalev W Compare

Top Goalscorer Orav M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vilipuu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu W 10 / 100
Tallinna Kalev W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu W Tallinna Kalev W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev W let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.40 goals when they meet.

Tammeka Tartu W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tallinna Kalev W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu W VS Tallinna Kalev W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu W

(Home)
15 Nov
Viimsi JK W
3 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
08 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
2 : 1
Elva W
01 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
0 : 8
Flora W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
14 Oct
Saku Sporting W
5 : 0
Tammeka Tartu W
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Tallinna Kalev W

(Away)
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
04 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
0 : 1
Viimsi JK W
01 Nov
Saku Sporting W
4 : 0
Tallinna Kalev W
19 Oct
Elva W
4 : 7
Tallinna Kalev W
14 Oct
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 6
Flora W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora W272511126:1176
2Saku Sporting W27182784:4756
3Viimsi JK W27155760:3250
4Tabasalu W271421151:5544
5Tallinna Kalev W27931558:7730
6Tammeka Tartu W27451832:9517
7Elva W27422128:9614
8FC Ararat W21521422:4817
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)