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Stadium Background

Tampa Bay Sun W vs Dallas Trinity W

USA USA

USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Riverfront Stadium, Tampa, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Guidry S.
Assist: Lancaster C.
23'
Sub
Haugen V. In: Shimkin J.
Out: Haugen V.
27' Event
Lancaster C.
Assist: Strawn S.

AI Match Summary

The USL Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Tampa Bay Sun W and Dallas Trinity W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dallas Trinity W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tampa Bay Sun W
6%
Draws
90%
Dallas Trinity W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dallas Trinity W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dallas Trinity W come out ahead of Tampa Bay Sun W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dallas Trinity W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tampa Bay Sun W Clean Sheet 16%
Dallas Trinity W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Sun W Dallas Trinity W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Dallas Trinity W
0:2
Apr 1, 2026 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Dallas Trinity W
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Dallas Trinity W
2:1
May 4, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Dallas Trinity W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Sun W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Dallas Trinity W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guidry S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lancaster C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay Sun W 10 / 100
Dallas Trinity W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Sun W Dallas Trinity W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay Sun W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Dallas Trinity W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Tampa Bay Sun W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay Sun W VS Dallas Trinity W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay Sun W

(Home)
16 May
Lexington W
1 : 0
Tampa Bay Sun W
09 May
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 2
Dallas Trinity W
02 May
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 2
Tampa Bay Sun W
25 Apr
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 2
Carolina Ascent W
18 Apr
Lexington W
4 : 0
Tampa Bay Sun W
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Dallas Trinity W

(Away)
23 May
Lexington W
2 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
17 May
Dallas Trinity W
4 : 0
Fort Lauderdale United W
09 May
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 2
Dallas Trinity W
01 May
DC Power W
1 : 1
Dallas Trinity W
25 Apr
Brooklyn W
1 : 1
Dallas Trinity W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lexington W281411350:2453
2Sporting Jax W28165754:3253
3Carolina Ascent W28156739:2751
4Dallas Trinity W281171036:4040
5Spokane Zephyr W28109934:2839
6DC Power W28891134:3233
7Brooklyn W28681431:4426
8Tampa Bay Sun W28591427:4624
9Fort Lauderdale United W28581530:6223
Promotion - USL Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)