Sport Picks

Finland

Ykkonen Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass

SalPa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tampere Utd play SalPa in the Ykkonen. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tampere Utd averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. SalPa averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. In past meetings, Tampere Utd won 1, SalPa won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Tampere Utd and 1.44 for SalPa. This points to a Tampere Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Tampere Utd

15%

Draws

40%

SalPa

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tampere Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Tampere Utd picked up more points recently compared to SalPa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Tampere Utd Clean Sheet 16%

SalPa Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tampere Utd	SalPa
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	15	10
Draws	3	4
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.77	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.26	1.82
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ykkonen

SalPa vs Tampere Utd

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Apr 1, 2023 Club Friendly

SalPa vs Tampere Utd

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Jul 23, 2022 Kakkonen Group B

SalPa vs Tampere Utd

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

Apr 30, 2022 Kakkonen Group B

Tampere Utd vs SalPa

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Aug 17, 2019 Kakkonen Group B

Tampere Utd vs SalPa

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampere Utd 44 / 100

SalPa 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tampere Utd SalPa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tampere Utd or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tampere Utd attacking → ← attacking SalPa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampere Utd scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

SalPa let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tampere Utd went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SalPa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 34

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	12	9	1	2	25:6	28
2	JJK Jyvaskyla	13	7	3	3	35:21	24
3	RoPS Rovaniemi	12	6	4	2	24:12	22
4	OLS Oulu	13	6	4	3	25:15	22
5	SalPa	12	5	4	3	26:22	19
6	Keski-Uusimaa	11	5	3	3	21:13	18
7	VJS	11	4	4	3	19:13	16
8	Jazz Pori	13	5	2	6	14:20	14
9	FC Inter Turku 2	12	3	3	6	22:36	12
10	KuPS Akatemia	12	2	2	8	18:27	8
11	KPV Kokkola	13	2	2	9	11:44	8
12	TPV	12	1	4	7	12:23	7