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Stadium Background

Tanabi U20 vs Comercial FC - Tiete U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Daniel Santos

AI Match Summary

Tanabi U20 in this Paulista U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tanabi U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tanabi U20
40%
Draws
29%
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Tanabi U20 have won more games recently than Comercial FC - Tiete U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tanabi U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanabi U20 Comercial FC - Tiete U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 0
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 Paulista U20
Tanabi U20 vs Comercial FC - Tiete U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanabi U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanabi U20 32 / 100
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanabi U20 Comercial FC - Tiete U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Comercial FC - Tiete U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tanabi U20 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tanabi U20 VS Comercial FC - Tiete U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanabi U20

(Home)
24 Jul
Guarani U20
1 : 0
Tanabi U20
17 Jul
Tanabi U20
0 : 3
Sfera U20
10 Jul
Tanabi U20
0 : 3
Osasco Audax U20
03 Jul
Maua FC U20
2 : 1
Tanabi U20
26 Jun
Tanabi U20
2 : 1
XV de Jau U20
Page 1 of 6

Comercial FC - Tiete U20

(Away)
13 Jan
Bragantino U20
3 : 0
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
10 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
2 : 1
Criciuma U20
07 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
1 : 0
Piracicaba U20
04 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
2 : 4
Canaa U20
12 Aug
Desportivo U20
2 : 1
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2015121261:1137
2Bragantino U2015112236:1135
3Sao Paulo U2015112236:1335
4Guarani U2015111328:1334
5EC Sao Bernardo U2015110433:1333
6Novorizontino U2015103236:1633
7Portuguesa U201594233:1531
8Ituano U201593337:1230
9Ibrachina U201593331:1530
10Ferroviaria U201592429:1829
11Santos U201592429:1929
12CA Juventus U201592415:1029
13Corinthians U201592429:2529
14Uniao Suzano U201592423:1929
15Ponte Preta U201591533:1928
16Santo Andre U201581626:2625
17Osasco Sporting U201574422:1725
18Capivariano U201573523:1524
19XV de Jau U201571726:2322
20Piracicaba U201571719:1822
21Gremio Prudente U201564521:1522
22Portuguesa Santista U201564519:2122
23Mirassol U201563621:1321
24Osasco Audax U201563627:2521
25Sao Caetano U201563620:2321
26Referencia U201556425:2621
27Botafogo SP U201562725:2120
28Internacional de Limeira U201562720:1920
29Desportivo U201553722:2518
30Maua FC U201553713:1718
31Bandeirante U201553718:2518
32Itapirense U201553718:2618
33Sertaozinho U201552814:1717
34Tanabi U201544719:2416
35Agua Santa U201544720:2816
36Velo Clube U201544716:2616
37Sao Bento U201543817:2915
38Aguai U201543812:2515
39Jabaquara U201543816:3015
40Sfera U201542915:2314
41Flamengo SP U201542915:3214
42AC Guaratingueta U2015321012:3511
43Uniao Sao Joao U2015311113:3310
44Comercial FC - Tiete U2015301220:369
45Taubate U2015221110:338
46Sao Jose EC U2015131114:406
47Aracatuba FC U2015131114:486
48Rio Claro U201511138:464
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC Sao Bernardo U2015110433:1333
2Novorizontino U2015103236:1633
3Ferroviaria U201592429:1829
4Santos U201592429:1929
5CA Juventus U201592415:1029
6Ponte Preta U201591533:1928
7Mirassol U201563621:1321
8Osasco Audax U201563627:2521
9Sao Caetano U201563620:2321
10Internacional de Limeira U201562720:1920
11Itapirense U201553718:2618
12Velo Clube U201544716:2616
13Aguai U201543812:2515
14Sfera U201542915:2314
15Taubate U2015221110:338
16Sao Jose EC U2015131114:406
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2015121261:1137
2Bragantino U2015112236:1135
3Portuguesa U201594233:1531
4Ituano U201593337:1230
5Corinthians U201592429:2529
6Uniao Suzano U201592423:1929
7Santo Andre U201581626:2625
8Referencia U201556425:2621
9Botafogo SP U201562725:2120
10Sertaozinho U201552814:1717
11Agua Santa U201544720:2816
12Sao Bento U201543817:2915
13Jabaquara U201543816:3015
14Uniao Sao Joao U2015311113:3310
15Aracatuba FC U2015131114:486
16Rio Claro U201511138:464
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo U2015112236:1335
2Guarani U2015111328:1334
3Ibrachina U201593331:1530
4Osasco Sporting U201574422:1725
5Capivariano U201573523:1524
6XV de Jau U201571726:2322
7Piracicaba U201571719:1822
8Gremio Prudente U201564521:1522
9Portuguesa Santista U201564519:2122
10Desportivo U201553722:2518
11Maua FC U201553713:1718
12Bandeirante U201553718:2518
13Tanabi U201544719:2416
14Flamengo SP U201542915:3214
15AC Guaratingueta U2015321012:3511
16Comercial FC - Tiete U2015301220:369
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)