Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tanzania Prisons vs Alliance

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Aziz I.
90'
Moshi S. H.

AI Match Summary

Tanzania Prisons in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tanzania Prisons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tanzania Prisons
30%
Draws
37%
Alliance
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tanzania Prisons have won more games recently than Alliance.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 16%
Alliance Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania Prisons Alliance
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.81 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Alliance
1:0
Oct 28, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Tanzania Prisons
1:1
Jan 15, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Tanzania Prisons
1:1
Sep 1, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Alliance
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Top Goalscorer Aziz I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Alliance Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania Prisons 31 / 100
Alliance 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania Prisons Alliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alliance has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Tanzania Prisons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tanzania Prisons scored in 55% of their last 42 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania Prisons VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania Prisons

(Home)
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0
Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0
Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 9

Alliance

(Away)
26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2
Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2
Ndanda
19 Jul
Simba
5 : 1
Alliance
15 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1
Alliance
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)