Sport Picks
Tapachula vs Inter Playa Del Carmen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Primera Premier 
Match Events
48'
48'
Vidal G.
66'
66'
Avila J.
86'
86'
Montoya J.
AI Match Summary
Tapachula in this Primera Premier matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tapachula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tapachula
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Inter Playa Del Carmen haven't matched Tapachula's recent run of results.
- 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Tapachula Clean Sheet 13%
Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tapachula | Inter Playa Del Carmen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Primera Premier
Tapachula vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Tapachula
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tapachula vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
2:3
Jan 19, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tapachula vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
2:1
Sep 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Tapachula
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tapachula Compare
Top Goalscorer Vidal G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Avila J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Inter Playa Del Carmen Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tapachula 35 / 100
Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tapachula Inter Playa Del Carmen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Inter Playa Del Carmen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tapachula scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Inter Playa Del Carmen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Away concern: Inter Playa Del Carmen has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tapachula VS Inter Playa Del Carmen
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tapachula
(Home) 06 Nov
Tapachula
2 : 4 Zacatepec
31 Oct
Tigres de Alica
4 : 1 Tapachula
24 Oct
Tapachula
1 : 0 Purepechas
20 Oct
Tapachula
1 : 4 Deportiva Venados
11 Oct
Montaneses
2 : 1 Tapachula
Page 1 of 6
06 Nov
Tapachula
2 : 4 Zacatepec
24 Oct
Tapachula
1 : 0 Purepechas
20 Oct
Tapachula
1 : 4 Deportiva Venados
03 Oct
Tapachula
2 : 3 Chapulineros
12 Sept
Tapachula
2 : 0 Inter Playa Del Carmen
Page 1 of 3
Inter Playa Del Carmen
(Away) 07 Nov
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 2 Lobos ULMX
31 Oct
Reboceros de La Piedad
1 : 2 Inter Playa Del Carmen
24 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 4 Irapuato
17 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 1 Racing de Veracruz
11 Oct
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 0 Inter Playa Del Carmen
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Reboceros de La Piedad
1 : 2 Inter Playa Del Carmen
11 Oct
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 0 Inter Playa Del Carmen
27 Sept
Montaneses
3 : 2 Inter Playa Del Carmen
12 Sept
Tapachula
2 : 0 Inter Playa Del Carmen
26 Apr
Apodaca
3 : 1 Inter Playa Del Carmen
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 23:6 | 31 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Lobos ULMX | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 4 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | 15 |
| 5 | Zacatepec | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 6 | Cordobes FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 7 | Los Cabos United | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:15 | 10 |
| 8 | Purepechas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 9 | Tritones Vallarta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 23 |
| 2 | Pioneros | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Celaya | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 4 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 16 |
| 5 | Deportiva Venados | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:18 | 13 |
| 6 | Chapulineros | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 7 | Montaneses | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 8 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:20 | 7 |
| 9 | Tapachula | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11:28 | 6 |
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)
