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Tapachula vs Irapuato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tapachula host Irapuato in the Primera Premier. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Tapachula have averaged 1.76 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Irapuato's 1.76 scored and 1.24 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.50) point toward Irapuato. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Tapachula
15%
Draws
71%
Irapuato
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Irapuato come out ahead of Tapachula on wins alone.
  • Model gives Irapuato a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tapachula Clean Sheet 10%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tapachula Irapuato
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.76 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tapachula 10 / 100
Irapuato 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tapachula Irapuato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tapachula's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Irapuato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Tapachula has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tapachula VS Irapuato
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tapachula

(Home)
06 Nov
Tapachula
2 : 4
Zacatepec
31 Oct
Tigres de Alica
4 : 1
Tapachula
24 Oct
Tapachula
1 : 0
Purepechas
20 Oct
Tapachula
1 : 4
Deportiva Venados
11 Oct
Montaneses
2 : 1
Tapachula
Page 1 of 6

Irapuato

(Away)
07 Nov
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 1
Irapuato
01 Nov
Irapuato
2 : 1
Deportiva Venados
24 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 4
Irapuato
18 Oct
Irapuato
2 : 0
Zacatepec
11 Oct
Irapuato
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Cordobes FC 10 3 2 5 9:14 10
7 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
8 Purepechas 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Tritones Vallarta 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 10 3 4 3 13:17 13
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)