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Taranto vs Avellino

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 Stadio Comunale Erasmo Iacovone, Taranto
Sun, Mar 16, 2025
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Taranto host Avellino in the Serie C - Group C 2024/2025. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Taranto have averaged 0.4 scored and 2.95 conceded recently, against Avellino's 2.1 scored and 1.42 conceded. Past meetings favor Taranto slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 0.99) point toward Avellino. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Taranto
15%
Draws
85%
Avellino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avellino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Avellino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Taranto a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Taranto Clean Sheet 20%
Avellino Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taranto Avellino
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 1 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.4 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.95 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Avellino
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Taranto
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Avellino
1:0
Dec 17, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Avellino vs Taranto
0:0
Mar 25, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Avellino
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taranto 40 / 100
Avellino 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taranto Avellino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taranto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avellino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Taranto scored in 40% of their last 20 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Avellino lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Avellino
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Taranto

(Home)
21 Feb
Picerno
7 : 0
Taranto
14 Feb
Taranto
0 : 3
Foggia
08 Feb
Sorrento
6 : 0
Taranto
03 Feb
Taranto
0 : 6
Casertana
27 Jan
Altamura
5 : 1
Taranto
Page 1 of 4

Avellino

(Away)
19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1
Avellino
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2
Arezzo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avellino 34 22 9 3 61:26 75
2 Audace Cerignola 34 19 10 5 50:32 67
3 Monopoli 34 15 12 7 36:25 57
4 Crotone 34 15 9 10 62:49 54
5 Catania 34 14 12 8 49:34 53
6 Benevento 34 13 13 8 51:34 52
7 Potenza 34 12 13 9 55:52 49
8 Picerno 34 10 18 6 39:27 48
9 Juventus U23 34 12 8 14 44:45 44
10 Giugliano 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
11 Trapani 34 11 8 15 42:42 41
12 Cavese 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Altamura 34 9 10 15 35:47 37
14 Sorrento 34 9 8 17 26:49 35
15 Latina 34 9 7 18 25:56 34
16 Casertana 34 6 14 14 30:38 32
17 Foggia 34 7 10 17 34:51 31
18 ACR Messina 34 6 11 17 29:53 25
19 Turris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Taranto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)