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Taraz-Karatau 2 vs FC Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bayzhanov T.
19' Event
Tursynbay D.
20' Event
Bayzhanov T.

AI Match Summary

FC Ekibastuz in this First Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ekibastuz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Taraz-Karatau 2
20%
Draws
38%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Taraz-Karatau 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Ekibastuz haven't matched Taraz-Karatau 2's recent run of results.
  • Taraz-Karatau 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Taraz-Karatau 2 Clean Sheet 20%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz-Karatau 2 FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2022 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
2:5
Apr 24, 2022 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Taraz-Karatau 2
0:0
Aug 28, 2021 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Taraz-Karatau 2
3:1
May 12, 2021 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs FC Ekibastuz
1:0
Oct 24, 2015 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Taraz-Karatau 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz-Karatau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tursynbay D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toybekov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayzhanov T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bralin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz-Karatau 2 42 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz-Karatau 2 FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Taraz-Karatau 2 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FC Ekibastuz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Ekibastuz
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Taraz-Karatau 2

(Home)
05 Nov
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 0
Taraz-Karatau 2
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
22 Oct
Taraz-Karatau 2
2 : 4
FK Kyran
16 Oct
Okzhetpes
6 : 1
Taraz-Karatau 2
09 Oct
Taraz-Karatau 2
1 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
23 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
3 : 0
FC Ekibastuz
16 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
10 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
02 Jul
Khan Tengri
1 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
26 Jun
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717
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