Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Taraz vs FC Astana 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Serikov N.
Assist: Akhmetov A.
30' Event
Tokenov T.
33'
Dairov N.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Taraz and FC Astana 2 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Taraz
6%
Draws
90%
FC Astana 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Astana 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Taraz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Astana 2 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Taraz Clean Sheet 10%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz FC Astana 2
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 First League
Taraz vs FC Astana 2
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Taraz
2:3
Jun 30, 2023 First League
Taraz vs FC Astana 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalybayev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Serikov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tokenov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz 10 / 100
FC Astana 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz FC Astana 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Taraz's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Taraz stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taraz VS FC Astana 2
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Taraz

(Home)
16 Jul
Taraz
1 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Jul
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 0
Taraz
03 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1
Taraz
26 Jun
Taraz
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
19 Jun
Khan Tengri
2 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 7

FC Astana 2

(Away)
17 Jul
FC Astana 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
10 Jul
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 1
FC Astana 2
02 Jul
FC Astana 2
6 : 1
Kaspij Aktau 2
26 Jun
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
FC Astana 2
18 Jun
FC Astana 2
2 : 3
Kairat Almaty 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 214122050:738
2Shakhter Karagandy14121138:537
3Turan1491429:1128
4FC Astana 21472525:2223
5Akademiya Ontustik1472522:1923
6Jaiyq1461711:1819
7Taraz1452720:2017
8Khan Tengri1452718:2617
9FC Ekibastuz1445517:2617
10Aktobe 21445527:4017
11Kaspij Aktau 21443716:2815
12Arys14311015:3210
13Yelimay Semey 21423911:279
14Tobol 21414923:417
Promotion - Premier League 2027 (Main)