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Tarbes vs Colomiers

France France

National 2 - Group A 2017/2018
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tarbes
15%
Draws
34%
Colomiers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarbes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tarbes lately — more wins on the board than Colomiers.
  • Win probability leans Colomiers's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 10%
Colomiers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarbes Colomiers
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 3 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Tarbes vs Colomiers
2:2
Sep 8, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Colomiers vs Tarbes
0:2
Jul 19, 2017 Club Friendly
Colomiers vs Tarbes
0:1
Mar 11, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Tarbes vs Colomiers
3:1
Oct 15, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Colomiers vs Tarbes
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarbes 22 / 100
Colomiers 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarbes Colomiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Tarbes's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Colomiers conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Difficult form: Colomiers registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tarbes VS Colomiers
0 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarbes

(Home)
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
19 May
Tarbes
0 : 3
Toulon
12 May
Marseille II
1 : 2
Tarbes
28 Apr
Tarbes
1 : 0
RC Grasse
21 Apr
Stade Bordelais
3 : 1
Tarbes
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Colomiers

(Away)
16 Nov
SA Merignac
1 : 0
Colomiers
16 Nov
Colomiers
2 : 3
Vierzon Foot
07 Aug
Bergerac
1 : 1
Colomiers
19 Nov
Colomiers
0 : 1
Pau
30 Oct
Agde
2 : 3
Colomiers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 17 6 7 39:25 57
2 Toulon 30 17 6 7 41:25 57
3 Colomiers 30 14 9 7 43:27 51
4 Bergerac 30 13 10 7 43:28 49
5 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 14 7 9 41:32 49
6 Martigues 30 13 8 9 42:33 47
7 Sete 30 11 13 6 42:25 46
8 Monaco II 30 11 10 9 44:33 43
9 RC Grasse 30 9 12 9 32:31 39
10 Hyeres 30 8 12 10 35:32 36
11 Nice II 30 10 5 15 31:48 35
12 Stade Montois 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Stade Bordelais 30 8 9 13 28:39 31
14 Marseille II 30 6 10 14 31:46 28
15 Tarbes 30 7 5 18 32:60 26
16 Pezenas 30 5 8 17 19:45 21
Promotion - National 2018/2019 (Main)