Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tartu JK Welco vs Santos Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Reinberg K.
27' Event
Porila A.
46'
Sub
Kuusik R. In: Nakk R.
Out: Kuusik R.

AI Match Summary

Santos Tartu in this Esiliiga 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tartu JK Welco
22%
Draws
18%
Santos Tartu
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tartu JK Welco lately — more wins on the board than Santos Tartu.
  • Model gives Tartu JK Welco a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 19%
Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu JK Welco Santos Tartu
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2018 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Santos Tartu
1:3
Aug 16, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Tartu JK Welco
1:3
Jul 9, 2018 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Santos Tartu
1:5
Jun 7, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Tartu JK Welco
1:2
Sep 13, 2017 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Tartu JK Welco
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedosk O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Santos Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinberg K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Porila A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu JK Welco 58 / 100
Santos Tartu 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu JK Welco Santos Tartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu JK Welco scored in 87% of their last 39 games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Santos Tartu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Tartu JK Welco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tartu JK Welco VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu JK Welco

(Home)
23 Jul
Rumori Calcio II
5 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
18 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
0 : 2
FC Tallinn
13 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 8
Tartu JK Welco
02 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
2 : 2
Viimsi JK
21 Jun
Tartu JK Welco
5 : 2
Nomme Utd U21
Page 1 of 8

Santos Tartu

(Away)
11 Nov
Santos Tartu
0 : 0
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Nov
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3
Santos Tartu
29 Oct
Santos Tartu
1 : 0
Levadia U21
20 Oct
Elva
1 : 0
Santos Tartu
06 Oct
Keila JK
4 : 0
Santos Tartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maardu Linnameeskond362916126:3888
2Flora Tallinn U21362187115:3171
3Levadia U21361871167:5661
4Elva3615101151:6455
5Rakvere3614101259:6052
6Tartu JK Welco361261844:7842
7Santos Tartu361181747:6841
8Tallinna Kalev U21361091737:5239
9Keila JK361052141:8835
10Kalju U2136562537:8921
Relegation - Esiliiga 2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2018 (Promotion)