Sport Picks
Tartu JK Welco vs Tallinna Kalev III
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Tartu JK Welco advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu JK Welco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Tallinna Kalev III haven't matched Tartu JK Welco's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Tartu JK Welco taking it.
- Tartu JK Welco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tartu JK Welco, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 19%
Tallinna Kalev III Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tartu JK Welco | Tallinna Kalev III |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 19 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 19, 2011 Estonian Cup
Tartu JK Welco vs Tallinna Kalev III
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tartu JK Welco 85 / 100
Tallinna Kalev III 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tartu JK Welco Tallinna Kalev III
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tartu JK Welco scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Tallinna Kalev III's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 18 matches.
Solid form: Tartu JK Welco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Tallinna Kalev III's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Tartu JK Welco VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tartu JK Welco
(Home) 23 Jul
Rumori Calcio II
5 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
18 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
0 : 2 FC Tallinn
13 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 8 Tartu JK Welco
02 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
2 : 2 Viimsi JK
21 Jun
Tartu JK Welco
5 : 2 Nomme Utd U21
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
0 : 2 FC Tallinn
02 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
2 : 2 Viimsi JK
21 Jun
Tartu JK Welco
5 : 2 Nomme Utd U21
13 Jun
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0 FC Tallinn
28 May
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 2 Kalju U21
Page 1 of 3
Tallinna Kalev III
(Away) 03 Sept
Tallinna Kalev III
1 : 8 Tallinna Kalev
26 Jul
Tallinna Kalev III
9 : 0 EstHam United
19 Jun
Tallinna Kalev III
0 : 6 Tabasalu
22 Jun
Tallinna Kalev III
0 : 10 Legion
11 Sept
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
2 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
Page 1 of 4
11 Sept
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
2 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
06 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 3 Tallinna Kalev III
12 Jun
Tammeka Tartu IV
0 : 4 Tallinna Kalev III
06 Sept
Navi Vutiselts
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
05 Aug
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Paide Linnameeskond-
TBD-
TBD-
Tabasalu II-
SK Taaksi-
TBD-
TBD-
Kivioli Irbis-
Voru-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallina Mercury-
Tammeka Tartu II5
Valga Warrior1
TBD-
Sillamae Kalev-
Saaremaa-
TBD-
TBD-
Saku Sporting-
Tallinn Piraaja-
TBD-
TBD-
Leisi-
Soccernet-
TBD-
Warrior Valga II2
Akhtamar4
Quattromed-
TBD-
Reaal1
Parnu Linnameeskond9
Tammeka Tartu-
TBD-
TBD-
Pokkeriprod-
Olympic Tallinn6
FC KIIU1
Otepaa II0
Raasiku Joker5
Tartu JK Welco1
Tallinna Kalev III0
TBD-
Loo JK-
Ambla-
TBD-
Lasnamae0
Kuressaare6
Maardu Linnameeskond3
Kose0
TBD-
Rapla-
Jogeva2
Saue JK Laagri1
JK Luunja0
Elva1
Navi Vutiselts-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Visadus-
Legion-
TBD-
Tartu SK 102
Narva4
Levadia8
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus0
Kalju III0
Kalju14
Kristiine-
TBD-
Haiba0
FCI Tallinn8
Otepaa9
SK EPMU Tartu1
TBD-
Metropool Parnu-
Tapa2
Igiliikur1
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS2
Tallinna Kalev10
Paide Linnameeskond U21-
TBD-
TBD-
Sorve-
Ulikool Tallinn-
TBD-
TBD-
Ganvix Turi-
FC Ararat3
Tulevik1
TBD-
Castovanni Eagles-
Premium Tartu-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora Tallinn U21-
Viljandi7
Kaitseliit2
Tabivere1
Rada Kuusalu2
Vastseliina Tannem-
TBD-
Toompea 19941
Johvi Phoenix12
Keila JK3
Nomme Utd1
Twister Tallinn1
Tabasalu9
Eston Villa-
TBD-
TBD-
Rakvere-
FC Lootos Polva-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev II1
Jarva-Jaani4
Kaitseliit II-
TBD-
TBD-
Kalju II-
Puuma-
TBD-
TBD-
Kardla-
Lelle2
Viimsi JK1
JK Jalgpallihaigla0
Flora17
1/32-finals
Paide Linnameeskond8
Tabasalu II0
SK Taaksi1
Kivioli Irbis8
Voru5
Tallina Mercury0
Tammeka Tartu II0
Sillamae Kalev6
Saaremaa-
Saku Sporting-
Tallinn Piraaja2
Leisi3
Soccernet4
Akhtamar3
Quattromed1
Parnu Linnameeskond5
Tammeka Tartu24
Pokkeriprod0
Olympic Tallinn0
Raasiku Joker3
Tartu JK Welco5
Loo JK2
Ambla0
Kuressaare7
Maardu Linnameeskond4
Rapla0
Jogeva2
Elva2
Navi Vutiselts2
JK Visadus0
Legion0
Narva7
Levadia2
Kalju1
Kristiine0
FCI Tallinn9
Otepaa3
Metropool Parnu0
Tapa0
Tallinna Kalev8
Paide Linnameeskond U211
Sorve0
Ulikool Tallinn2
Ganvix Turi3
FC Ararat3
Castovanni Eagles2
Premium Tartu0
Flora Tallinn U213
Viljandi3
Rada Kuusalu0
Vastseliina Tannem1
Johvi Phoenix9
Keila JK-
Tabasalu-
Eston Villa0
Rakvere5
FC Lootos Polva6
Jarva-Jaani1
Kaitseliit II1
Kalju II10
Puuma3
Kardla1
Lelle0
Flora13
1/16-finals
Paide Linnameeskond3
Kivioli Irbis1
Voru0
Sillamae Kalev8
Saaremaa1
Leisi0
Soccernet0
Parnu Linnameeskond13
Tammeka Tartu4
Raasiku Joker1
Tartu JK Welco1
Kuressaare2
Maardu Linnameeskond2
Elva1
Navi Vutiselts0
Narva9
Levadia5
FCI Tallinn0
Otepaa0
Tallinna Kalev7
Paide Linnameeskond U213
Ganvix Turi2
FC Ararat1
Flora Tallinn U212
Viljandi3
Johvi Phoenix0
Keila JK2
Rakvere5
FC Lootos Polva5
Kalju II4
Puuma1
Flora4
1/8-finals
Paide Linnameeskond4
Sillamae Kalev3
Saaremaa1
Parnu Linnameeskond4
Tammeka Tartu7
Kuressaare0
Maardu Linnameeskond0
Narva6
Levadia4
Tallinna Kalev1
Paide Linnameeskond U210
Flora Tallinn U211
Viljandi2
Rakvere1
FC Lootos Polva0
Flora9
Quarter-finals
Paide Linnameeskond4
Parnu Linnameeskond0
Tammeka Tartu1
Narva2
Levadia2
Flora Tallinn U210
Viljandi0
Flora3
Semi-finals
Levadia1
Flora0
Paide Linnameeskond0
Narva1
Final
Levadia3
Narva0
