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Taruma W vs Penarol W

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Women 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense Women 2021 game between Taruma W and Penarol W finished 1-12, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penarol W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Taruma W
15%
Draws
34%
Penarol W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taruma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Penarol W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Taruma W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • Penarol W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Taruma W Clean Sheet 10%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taruma W Penarol W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2.84 2.73
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Amazonense Women
Penarol W vs Taruma W
0:3
Sep 14, 2025 Amazonense Women
Penarol W vs Taruma W
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 Amazonense Women
Penarol W vs Taruma W
5:0
Dec 5, 2021 Amazonense Women
Taruma W vs Penarol W
1:12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taruma W 83 / 100
Penarol W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taruma W Penarol W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taruma W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Taruma W's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Penarol W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Penarol W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taruma W VS Penarol W
2.83 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Taruma W

(Home)
29 Aug
Taruma W
1 : 2
Amazonas Legis W
18 Aug
Taruma W
1 : 5
3B da Amazonia W
13 Aug
Amazonas Legis W
0 : 8
Taruma W
07 Aug
Penarol W
0 : 3
Taruma W
14 Sept
Penarol W
2 : 1
Taruma W
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Penarol W

(Away)
22 Aug
Penarol W
6 : 2
Amazonas Legis W
11 Aug
3B da Amazonia W
9 : 1
Penarol W
07 Aug
Penarol W
0 : 3
Taruma W
31 May
Penarol W
1 : 1
Pantanal W
17 May
Pantanal W
4 : 1
Penarol W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 3B da Amazonia W 6 5 1 0 28:3 16
2 JC W 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
3 Penarol W 6 3 2 1 21:9 11
4 Recanto W 6 3 0 3 26:6 9
5 EC Iranduba de Amazonia W 6 2 0 4 9:8 6
6 Manicore W 6 1 1 4 14:17 4
7 Taruma W 6 0 0 6 1:65 0
Promotion - Amazonense Women 2021 (Play Offs)