Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tau vs Cannara

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Tordiglione N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Tau and Cannara finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tau
20%
Draws
38%
Cannara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Tau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tau a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tau Clean Sheet 20%
Cannara Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tau Cannara
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Cannara
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Tau
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tau Compare

Top Goalscorer Tordiglione N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cannara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tau 42 / 100
Cannara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tau Cannara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tau found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Cannara let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Tau remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tau VS Cannara
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tau

(Home)
10 May
Tau
0 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2
Tau
26 Apr
Tau
3 : 2
Terranuova Traiana
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
Page 1 of 7

Cannara

(Away)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1
Scandicci
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)