Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Alagna F.
Penalty Missed
22'
22'
Mocanu A.
29'
29'
Rossi M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Pistoiese advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pistoiese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pistoiese carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Pistoiese a 57% chance of winning this.
- Pistoiese arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Pistoiese, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Pistoiese have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tau Clean Sheet 10%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tau | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 22 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 0.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Tau vs Pistoiese
1:3
May 11, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tau vs Pistoiese
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Tau
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tau Compare
Top Goalscorer Mocanu A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Pistoiese Compare
Top Goalscorer Diallo C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rossi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tau 10 / 100
Pistoiese 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tau Pistoiese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Tau scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Pistoiese conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.
Tau has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tau VS Pistoiese
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tau
(Home) 20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2 Siena
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1 Tau
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2 Siena
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1 US Pontedera
10 May
Tau
0 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Tau
3 : 2 Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 3
Pistoiese
(Away) 20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1 Pistoiese
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Arconatese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3 Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0 Solbiatese
22 Aug
Pistoiese
0 : 1 Siena
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1 Pistoiese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3 Pistoiese
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0 Pistoiese
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2 Pistoiese
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1 Pistoiese
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
