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Tauranga vs Canterbury

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2003
Tauranga Logo

Tauranga

3 - 2
FT
Canterbury Logo

Canterbury

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tauranga in this Football Championship 2003 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tauranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tauranga
15%
Draws
59%
Canterbury
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canterbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Canterbury have won more games recently than Tauranga.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Canterbury taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2003 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tauranga Clean Sheet 20%
Canterbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tauranga Canterbury
Matches Played 30 46
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 11
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.47 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2003 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Canterbury
3:2
Feb 6, 2003 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Tauranga
2:0
Apr 7, 2002 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Canterbury
2:0
Feb 6, 2002 Football Championship
Canterbury vs Tauranga
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tauranga 20 / 100
Canterbury 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tauranga Canterbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canterbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tauranga scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Canterbury's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 46 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Tauranga went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Canterbury
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tauranga

(Home)
12 Jul
Tauranga
1 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
29 Jun
Tauranga
0 : 2
Onehunga
25 May
North Shore
3 : 1
Tauranga
18 May
Tauranga
2 : 3
Napier City
11 May
Tauranga
3 : 2
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

Canterbury

(Away)
27 Feb
Canterbury
5 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
14 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 0
Canterbury
06 Feb
Canterbury
2 : 1
Hawke s Bay
31 Jan
Hamilton
1 : 1
Canterbury
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 18 11 0 7 46:29 33
2 East Auckland 18 10 3 5 34:24 33
3 Central United 18 10 1 7 44:29 31
4 Napier City 18 9 2 7 29:28 29
5 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 32:29 27
6 Canterbury 18 7 5 6 34:34 26
7 North Shore 18 6 5 7 30:34 23
8 Caversham 18 5 5 8 19:26 20
9 Dunedin 18 6 2 10 24:38 20
10 Tauranga 18 4 2 12 20:41 14
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)