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Tauras Taurage vs Jonava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Jorge Eduardo
90' Event
Radchenko A.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Tauras Taurage and Jonava finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tauras Taurage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tauras Taurage
30%
Draws
31%
Jonava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tauras Taurage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tauras Taurage come out ahead of Jonava on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tauras Taurage taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tauras Taurage Clean Sheet 20%
Jonava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tauras Taurage Jonava
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.76 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Jonava
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Jonava vs Tauras Taurage
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 I Lyga
Jonava vs Tauras Taurage
1:0
May 17, 2025 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Jonava
2:0
Oct 17, 2015 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Jonava
0:11

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tauras Taurage Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorge Eduardo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radchenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jonava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tauras Taurage 36 / 100
Jonava 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tauras Taurage Jonava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tauras Taurage found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Jonava has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Tauras Taurage went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tauras Taurage VS Jonava
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tauras Taurage

(Home)
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
15 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
Tauras Taurage
08 Aug
Tauras Taurage
0 : 2
Neptunas
Page 1 of 6

Jonava

(Away)
04 Sept
Jonava
0 : 0
Dainava Alytus
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
21 Aug
Jonava
0 : 1
Siauliai 2
14 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Jonava
07 Aug
Jonava
1 : 2
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 22 19 1 2 58:12 58
2 FK Babrungas 23 17 4 2 39:9 55
3 BE1 NFA 22 14 2 6 39:24 44
4 Neptunas 22 13 2 7 30:27 41
5 Tauras Taurage 23 12 4 7 40:28 40
6 BFA Vilnius 23 12 3 8 35:32 39
7 Zalgiris 2 22 11 4 7 36:31 37
8 Dainava Alytus 22 10 7 5 33:20 37
9 FK Atmosfera 22 8 5 9 34:29 29
10 Jonava 23 7 6 10 26:28 27
11 Hegelmann Litauen 2 23 7 1 15 29:51 22
12 Garliava 22 6 4 12 23:24 22
13 Transinvest 2 23 5 3 15 24:55 18
14 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 22 5 1 16 18:35 16
15 Ekranas 23 4 2 17 22:50 14
16 Siauliai 2 23 3 5 15 21:52 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)