Sport Picks

Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Tenerife

1 - 1

Lugo

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Gallego E.

(Penalty)

60'

Sub

Gil N. In: Chapela I.

Out: Gil N.

60'

Sub

de Miguel J. In: Valles G.

Out: de Miguel J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Tenerife

20%

Draws

38%

Lugo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tenerife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Tenerife have won more games recently than Lugo.
Win probability leans Tenerife's way, sitting at 42%.
Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Tenerife Clean Sheet 68%

Lugo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tenerife	Lugo
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	10
Draws	9	11
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	1.75	0.63
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1

Tenerife vs Lugo

1:1

Dec 7, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1

Lugo vs Tenerife

2:2

Apr 7, 2023 LaLiga2

Lugo vs Tenerife

0:0

Aug 21, 2022 LaLiga2

Tenerife vs Lugo

1:1

May 1, 2022 LaLiga2

Lugo vs Tenerife

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tenerife Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Lugo Compare

Top Goalscorer Unzueta I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenerife 51 / 100

Lugo 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tenerife Lugo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tenerife's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lugo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Tenerife remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tenerife VS Lugo

1.75 Goals Scored 0.63

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tenerife

(Home)

22 Jul

Tenerife

1 : 2

Getafe

18 Jul

Tenerife

3 : 0

Tenerife B

23 May

Ourense CF

2 : 1

Tenerife

17 May

Tenerife

3 : 0

Pontevedra

09 May

Unionistas de Salamanca

2 : 1

Tenerife

Page 1 of 6

Lugo

(Away)

25 Jul

Lugo

1 : 1

Celta Vigo B

23 May

Lugo

0 : 0

Arenteiro

17 May

Celta Vigo B

0 : 1

Lugo

10 May

Lugo

1 : 3

Zamora

03 May

AD Merida

0 : 2

Lugo

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tenerife	38	22	10	6	62:24	76
2	Celta Vigo B	38	18	11	9	61:48	65
3	Zamora	38	17	10	11	53:42	61
4	Ponferradina	38	17	9	12	43:33	60
5	Real Madrid B	38	16	10	12	61:52	58
6	Pontevedra	38	14	16	8	49:31	58
7	Barakaldo	38	15	13	10	51:38	58
8	Unionistas de Salamanca	38	15	11	12	53:49	56
9	Lugo	38	13	14	11	36:40	53
10	AD Merida	38	14	10	14	47:53	52
11	Arenas Getxo	38	15	7	16	46:55	52
12	Racing Club Ferrol	38	13	10	15	41:47	49
13	Ath Bilbao B	38	13	10	15	38:46	49
14	Real Aviles	38	11	11	16	55:67	44
15	Cacereno	38	10	14	14	42:49	44
16	CF Talavera	38	11	10	17	38:47	43
17	Ourense CF	38	10	13	15	44:47	43
18	Guadalajara	38	10	11	17	44:58	41
19	Osasuna B	38	10	10	18	28:42	40
20	Arenteiro	38	6	10	22	29:53	28

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