Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tenerife vs Racing Club Ferrol

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Gallego E.
50'
Dacosta R.
63'
Sub
Valles G. In: Lopez N.
Out: Valles G.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Tenerife and Racing Club Ferrol finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Racing Club Ferrol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tenerife
39%
Draws
31%
Racing Club Ferrol
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tenerife carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Tenerife Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Club Ferrol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tenerife Racing Club Ferrol
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Tenerife vs Racing Club Ferrol
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Tenerife
0:2
May 11, 2025 LaLiga2
Tenerife vs Racing Club Ferrol
0:0
Oct 28, 2024 LaLiga2
Racing Club Ferrol vs Tenerife
1:1
May 5, 2024 LaLiga2
Tenerife vs Racing Club Ferrol
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tenerife Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Racing Club Ferrol Compare

Top Goalscorer Zalaya A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenerife 41 / 100
Racing Club Ferrol 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tenerife Racing Club Ferrol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tenerife scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Racing Club Ferrol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Tenerife has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tenerife VS Racing Club Ferrol
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
100% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Tenerife

(Home)
22 Jul
Tenerife
1 : 2
Getafe
18 Jul
Tenerife
3 : 0
Tenerife B
23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Tenerife
17 May
Tenerife
3 : 0
Pontevedra
09 May
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 1
Tenerife
Page 1 of 6

Racing Club Ferrol

(Away)
23 May
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 2
Racing Club Ferrol
17 May
Racing Club Ferrol
0 : 0
Osasuna B
08 May
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1
Racing Club Ferrol
02 May
Racing Club Ferrol
0 : 0
Pontevedra
26 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 2
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)