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Tensung vs Thimphu City Prediction & H2H Stats

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sadick S.
36' Event
Tshering D.
55' Event
Sadick S.

AI Match Summary

Thimphu City in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thimphu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tensung
15%
Draws
85%
Thimphu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Thimphu City lately — more wins on the board than Tensung.
  • Thimphu City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Thimphu City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Tensung Clean Sheet 10%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tensung Thimphu City
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 24
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 3
Goals Scored 0.97 3.25
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
7:1
Jul 15, 2026 Premier League
Tensung vs Thimphu City
0:4
Sep 16, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
5:0
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
Tensung vs Thimphu City
1:0
Jul 21, 2024 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tensung Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Thimphu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadick S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tshering D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tensung 10 / 100
Thimphu City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tensung Thimphu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Tensung scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Thimphu City conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tensung VS Thimphu City
1 Goals Scored 3.25
3.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tensung

(Home)
28 Sept
Tensung
1 : 5
RTC
25 Sept
Thimphu FC
4 : 1
Tensung
20 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
Drukpa
15 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
BFF Academy U19
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
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Thimphu City

(Away)
23 Sept
Thimphu City
3 : 0
Transport United
19 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 3
Thimphu City
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
10 Sept
RTC
1 : 2
Thimphu City
21 Aug
Drukpa
2 : 2
Thimphu City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 17 15 1 1 72:12 46
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 49:12 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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