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Tensung vs Thimphu City

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Wed, Jul 15, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tensung play Thimphu City in the Premier League. Thimphu City are favorites here. Recently, Tensung averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Thimphu City averaged 3.09 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Tensung won 1, Thimphu City won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 16, 2025 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Tensung and 1.75 for Thimphu City. This points to a Thimphu City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Tensung
15%
Draws
68%
Thimphu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Tensung picked up more points recently compared to Thimphu City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Tensung Clean Sheet 12%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tensung Thimphu City
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 24
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.77 3.09
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
5:0
Jun 29, 2025 Premier League
Tensung vs Thimphu City
1:0
Jul 21, 2024 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
2:1
May 13, 2024 Premier League
Tensung vs Thimphu City
1:3
Nov 17, 2023 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tensung
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tensung 18 / 100
Thimphu City 64 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tensung Thimphu City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Thimphu City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +88.9%
11.11
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tensung attacking → ← attacking Thimphu City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tensung scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Thimphu City let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tensung went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Thimphu City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 77
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paro861131:719
2Thimphu City852119:617
3Thimphu FC84139:913
4RTC84138:813
5Transport United74038:912
6BFF Academy U19731313:1310
7Tsirang831411:1210
8Drukpa823313:109
9Tensung81253:155
10Ugyen Academy81077:333