Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023

Barendrecht

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ter Leede play Barendrecht in the Derde Divisie 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ter Leede averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Barendrecht averaged 1.94 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Ter Leede won 1, Barendrecht won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 20, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Ter Leede and 1.43 for Barendrecht. This points to a Barendrecht double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Ter Leede

28%

Draws

39%

Barendrecht

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Barendrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Ter Leede picked up more points recently compared to Barendrecht.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.43 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 72%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Ter Leede Clean Sheet 17%

Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ter Leede	Barendrecht
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	9	14
Draws	9	5
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.5	1.94
Goals Conceded	1.63	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Derde Divisie

Ter Leede vs Barendrecht

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Nov 26, 2022 Derde Divisie

Barendrecht vs Ter Leede

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

May 21, 2022 Derde Divisie

Ter Leede vs Barendrecht

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Feb 19, 2022 Derde Divisie

Barendrecht vs Ter Leede

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

4:2

Mar 6, 2021 Derde Divisie

Barendrecht vs Ter Leede

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ter Leede Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoekstra D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Barendrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Serghini A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bakour M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ter Leede 33 / 100

Barendrecht 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ter Leede Barendrecht

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Barendrecht or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.4%

1.52

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ter Leede attacking → ← attacking Barendrecht

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ter Leede scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Barendrecht let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ter Leede went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Barendrecht lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 47

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ACV Assen	34	22	9	3	71:33	75
2	GVVV	34	21	6	7	77:40	69
3	SteDoCo	34	18	4	12	59:42	58
4	Rijnvogels	34	17	5	12	64:55	56
5	Barendrecht	34	18	5	11	71:54	55
6	Sportlust	34	15	8	11	52:50	53
7	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	15	7	12	54:43	52
8	Sparta Nijkerk	34	13	11	10	45:45	50
9	HSV Hoek	34	16	2	16	71:72	50
10	VV DOVO	34	15	3	16	51:56	48
11	Staphorst	34	12	9	13	38:41	45
12	Urk	34	13	3	18	62:76	42
13	Harkemase Boys	34	10	8	16	52:56	38
14	RKAV Volendam	34	9	9	16	52:72	36
15	VVOG	34	10	5	19	49:71	35
16	Excelsior 31	34	8	9	17	47:58	33
17	Ter Leede	34	8	9	17	50:65	33
18	ASWH	34	7	6	21	25:61	27

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	27	3	4	85:37	84
2	VVSB	34	22	5	7	87:52	71
3	USV Hercules	34	18	9	7	64:33	63
4	Blauw Geel	34	15	10	9	53:45	55
5	OJC Rosmalen	34	16	6	12	58:56	54
6	HSC '21	34	14	9	11	64:42	51
7	UNA	34	12	13	9	55:41	49
8	TOGB	34	13	10	11	68:56	49
9	HV & CV Quick	34	13	10	11	59:47	49
10	DEM	34	13	9	12	58:53	48
11	Gemert	34	14	5	15	52:59	47
12	GVV Unitas	34	13	6	15	43:59	45
13	Groene Ster	34	10	13	11	42:44	43
14	FC OSS '20	34	8	12	14	39:59	36
15	Watergraafsmeer	34	8	8	18	35:80	32
16	Baronie	34	8	4	22	44:70	28
17	Dongen	34	6	7	21	45:77	25
18	RKSV UDI 19	34	4	5	25	26:67	17